Copa del Rey
Quarter-finals
Alavés
MATCH FINISHED
4 February
2
:
3
Real Sociedad
1
11/5
X
11/5
2
37/25
Under 2.5
13/20
Over 2.5
27/20
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Alavés vs Real Sociedad: prediction & betting odds 4 February 2026

The quarter-final match of the Copa del Rey between Deportivo Alavés and Real Sociedad will take place on 4 February at the Mendizorrotza stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz. Deportivo Alavés vs Real Sociedad: prediction, betting odds and statistics.

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés progressed to the upcoming match after overcoming two La Liga opponents: in December the team beat Sevilla 1:0, and in January they defeated Rayo Vallecano 2:0. Earlier, the side recorded big wins over Getxo and Portugalete, with an aggregate score of 10:0. Thus the club has yet to concede a goal in the current Copa del Rey campaign. Reaching the quarter-finals equals Deportivo Alavés's best result in this competition since the 2017/18 season. It is worth noting that the club has never won the national cup, although in 2017 it reached the final and lost to Barcelona 1:3.

  • At least one team failed to score in 13 of Deportivo Alavés's last 14 Copa del Rey matches.
  • The club's uncompromising home run in this competition lasts 5 matches (4 wins, 1 loss).
  • At least 2 goals were scored in 5 of the side's previous 7 Copa del Rey games.

Potential Deportivo Alavés Lineup (4-4-2)*

Antonio Sivera – Jon Pacheco, Victor Parada, Jhonny, Carlos Benavídez – Antonio Blanco, Carles Aleñá, Pablo Ibáñez, Calebe – Toni Martínez, Lucas Boyé.

Defender Carlos Benavídez and midfielder Denis Suárez are unavailable due to injuries.

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad have faced only one La Liga representative in this season's Copa del Rey. In the previous round Real Sociedad narrowly overcame Osasuna on penalties, having trailed 0:2 until the 75th minute. Prior to that dramatic tie, the visiting team beat Negreira 3:0, Reddiss 2:0 and Eldense 2:1. The club reached the quarter-finals of the national cup for the fifth consecutive time, although in previous campaigns Real Sociedad did not progress beyond the semi-final stage. The team has won the competition three times overall, with the most recent triumph in the 2019/20 season.

  • The club has scored at least 2 goals across 5 Copa del Rey games.
  • Real Sociedad's unbeaten run after 90 minutes reached 5 cup matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
  • The team conceded more than 1 goal in only 1 of their last 17 Copa del Rey outings.

Potential Real Sociedad Lineup (4-4-2)*

Alejandro Remiro – Igor Zubeldia, Jon Martin, Jon Aramburu, Sergio Gómez – Jon Gorrocategi, Gonçalo Guedes, Carlos Soler, Pablo Marín – Luka Sučić, Mikel Oyarzabal.

Midfielders Takefusa Kubo and Ander Barrenetxea are sidelined due to health issues. The participation of midfielder Arsen Zakharyan is in doubt.

Referee

Alejandro Quintero (Spain)

Matches – 12 (the La Liga and the Copa del Rey, 2025/26);

Yellow Cards (Including Second Yellows) – 62;

Average Yellow Cards Per Match – 5.2;

Red Cards Shown – 9;

Fouls Per Match On Average – 27;

Penalties – 33%.

Deportivo Alavés vs Real Sociedad: Match Prediction

Both teams have cleared four rounds of the Copa del Rey. Deportivo Alavés consistently settled ties in regulation time, including encounters with two La Liga clubs; importantly, those matches were played on home soil. The home side has not lost in 12 of their last 13 domestic cup home matches (9 wins, 3 draws). We would add that the team scored in 11 of 13 games. Considering away fixtures, Deportivo Alavés's scoring run in this competition stands at 6 matches.

Among Real Sociedad's previous opponents in the Copa del Rey there was only one La Liga club, but the matches against Osasuna were enough to create immediate problems for the visiting team. Real Sociedad miraculously escaped defeat in regulation time and ultimately prevailed only on penalties. That was at their own stands; now they face a very difficult trip. In league play Real Sociedad have won only one of their last six visits to Deportivo Alavés's field (2 draws, 3 losses). Nevertheless, the visiting team has been scoring across 5 away cup matches.

Most likely Real Sociedad will not allow themselves to finish the game goalless, but even so we would give preference to the hosts.

Prediction: Deportivo Alavés Or Draw + Both Teams To Score

* The starting lineup listed for each team refers to its previous match.

Betting tips 4 February 2026

In the quarter-finals of the Copa del Rey, supporters can look forward to an intense Basque derby. Deportivo Alavés go into the match highly motivated after having already eliminated Sevilla (1:0) and Rayo Vallecano (2:0) from the competition. However, Real Sociedad de Fútbol lie ahead, and they have not lost in any competition since mid-December. 

Deportivo Alavés are in excellent form. In recent league rounds, the side have defeated Real Betis Balompié (2:1) and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (2:1 away). In the Copa del Rey, they have also shown character and tactical maturity, beating four opponents by a combined score of 13:0. They are particularly strong at home, where they have lost only three of their 13 matches this season, and over that run only once has a match produced more than 3.5 goals. 

Real Sociedad de Fútbol, by contrast, are focusing on LaLiga, where they are gradually gaining momentum and playing with increasing confidence. In the Copa del Rey, the visitors have recently defeated Eldense (1:2) and Osasuna (2:2, progressing on penalties), but away from home they occasionally lose not only to the big clubs but also to outsiders such as Real Oviedo. The squad have the stronger roster, but in cup ties they tend to play cautiously. 

The head-to-head record favours Deportivo Alavés: in December they won 1:0 at home, and last season both meetings between the sides ended in victories for the team (1:0 and 2:1). We expect a tense match with few goals, and the hosts should avoid defeat. 

Betting prediction
Deportivo Alavés to win or draw + Under 3.5 – Yes
Cf
Odds
3/4
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Alavés vs Real Sociedad Odds

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Copa del Rey: previous matches in the tournament

Alavés
14.01.26
Alavés
Rayo Vallecano
W
17.12.25
Alavés
Sevilla
W
02.12.25
Portugalete
Alavés
W
30.10.25
Getxo
Alavés
W
More matches
Real Sociedad
13.01.26
Real Sociedad
Osasuna
2
:
2
0
:
0
OT
4
:
3
P
D
16.12.25
Eldense
Real Sociedad
W
03.12.25
Reus Reddis
Real Sociedad
W
28.10.25
Negreira
Real Sociedad
W
More matches

H2H: Alavés — Real Sociedad

La Liga 2025/26
06.12.25
Alavés
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2024-2025
23.04.25
Alavés
Real Sociedad
28.08.24
Real Sociedad
Alavés
La Liga 2023-2024
31.03.24
Alavés
Real Sociedad
02.01.24
Real Sociedad
Alavés
La Liga 2021-2022
13.03.22
Real Sociedad
Alavés
02.01.22
Alavés
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2020-2021
21.02.21
Real Sociedad
Alavés
06.12.20
Alavés
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2019-2020
18.06.20
Alavés
Real Sociedad
26.09.19
Real Sociedad
Alavés
La Liga 2018-2019
04.05.19
Alavés
Real Sociedad
21.12.18
Real Sociedad
Alavés
La Liga 2017-2018
04.03.18
Real Sociedad
Alavés
14.10.17
Alavés
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2016-2017
18.03.17
Alavés
Real Sociedad
22.10.16
Real Sociedad
Alavés
La Liga 2005-2006
28.01.06
Alavés
Real Sociedad
3
:
1
10.09.05
Real Sociedad
Alavés
2
:
1
La Liga 2002-2003
09.03.03
Real Sociedad
Alavés
3
:
1
20.10.02
Alavés
Real Sociedad
2
:
2
La Liga 2001-2002
19.01.02
Real Sociedad
Alavés
1
:
2
09.09.01
Alavés
Real Sociedad
2
:
0
La Liga 2000-2001
18.03.01
Real Sociedad
Alavés
1
:
1
01.11.00
Alavés
Real Sociedad
0
:
1
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Team lineups

Alavés

Eduardo Coudet
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Raúl Fernández-Cavada Mateos
gk. 0 0
Facundo Nahuel Tenaglia
df. 0 0
Jon Pacheco Dozagarat
df. 0 0
Jonathan Castro Otto
df. 0 0
Víctor Parada González
df. 0 0
Abderrahmane Rebbach
mf. 0 0
Ander Guevara Lajo
mf. 0 0
Calebe Gonçalves Ferreira da Silva
mf. 0 0
Denis Suárez Fernández
mf. 0 0
Aitor Mañas
fw. 0 0
Antonio Martínez López
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Antonio Sivera Salvá
gk. 0 0
Grégoire Jean Stanislas Świderski
gk. 0 0
Facundo Tomás Garcés
df. 0 0
Youssef Enríquez Lekhedim
df. 0 0
Ángel Pérez Hidalgo
df. 0 0
Antonio Blanco Conde
mf. 0 0
Carles Aleña Castillo
mf. 0 0
Jon Guridi Aldalur
mf. 0 0
Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
mf. 0 0
Lucas Ariel Boyé
fw. 0 0
Real Sociedad

Pellegrino Matarazzo
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Alejandro Remiro Gargallo
gk. 0 0
Aihen Muñoz Capellán
df. 0 0
Duje Ćaleta-Car
df. 0 0
Jon Martín Vicente
df. 0 0
Jon Mikel Aramburu Mejías
df. 0 0
Beñat Turrientes Imaz
mf. 0 0
Brais Méndez Portela
mf. 0 0
Carlos Soler Barragán
mf. 0 0
Gonçalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes
mf. 0 0
Sergio Gómez Martín
mf. 0 0
Mikel Oyarzabal Ugarte
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Aitor Fraga Torres
gk. 0 0
Aritz Elustondo Irribaria
df. 0 0
Igor Zubeldia Elorza
df. 0 0
Álvaro Odriozola Arzallus
df. 0 0
Jon Gorrotxategi Etxaniz
mf. 0 0
Luka Sučić
mf. 0 0
Pablo Marín Tejada
mf. 0 0
Yangel Clemente Herrera Ravelo
mf. 0 0
Daniel Díaz Gándara
fw. 0 0
Orri Steinn Óskarsson
fw. 0 0
Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira
fw. 0 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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