Azerbaijan vs France: prediction & betting odds 16 November 2025

The Matchday 10 World Cup 2026 qualifier between Azerbaijan and France will take place on November 16 at the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium in Baku. Azerbaijan vs. France: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Azerbaijan

Ayhan Abbasov's team also played their last match at home in Baku, but once again suffered a defeat. This time, they lost 0-2 to Iceland, conceding both goals in the first half. This marked their 8th defeat in the last 9 World Cup qualifying matches. The Caucasians are at the bottom of Group D with 1 point and will remain in 4th place. Notably, the team has conceded the most goals in the group – 13, and scored the fewest – only 2 goals.

• Azerbaijan has not won in the World Cup qualifiers for 15 matches (2 draws and 13 losses).
• At least 3 goals have been scored in 7 of Azerbaijan's last 9 matches in this tournament.
• The team has conceded two or more goals in 6 of their last 7 home World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Azerbaijan (3-4-2-1)

Aydin Bayramov – Bahlul Mustafazade, Anton Krivotsyuk, Elvin Badalov – Jalal Guseynov, Abdula Haybulayev, Emin Mahmudov, Rufat Abbasov – Toral Bayramov, Kismet Aliyev – Nariman Akhundzade.

Forward Rustam Akhmedzade will miss the match due to suspension.

France

The team has secured their place in next year's World Cup. They clinched a direct spot in the last round by thrashing Ukraine, their main rivals for first place, 4-0 at home. Interestingly, all goals in this match were scored after the 55th minute. Didier Deschamps' side boasts the best defense in the group, having conceded only 3 goals.

• France is unbeaten in 17 European World Cup qualifiers – 12 wins and 5 draws.
• At least 3 goals were scored in the team's last 4 matches in this tournament.
• France has scored at least two goals in their last 8 World Cup qualifying games.

Predicted lineup for France (4-2-3-1)

Mike Maignan – Jules Kounde, Dayot Upamecano, Lucas Digne, William Saliba – Manu Kone, N'Golo Kante – Bradley Barcola, Michael Olise, Rayan Cherki – Kylian Mbappe.

Forward Randal Kolo Muani, Désiré Doué, and Ousmane Dembélé are out due to injuries. Midfielders Eduardo Camavinga (injury) and Manu Kone (suspension) have also left the squad, along with forward Kylian Mbappe (injury).

Referee

Andris Treimanis (Latvia)

Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 74;

Average yellow cards per match – 6.2;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 30;

Penalties – 33%.

Azerbaijan vs. France: Match Prediction

Both teams are without any tournament motivation for the final round. The hosts have shown little in the group stage and are finishing the qualifiers at the bottom. Meanwhile, the visitors have already secured their World Cup spot. I believe France will not thrash their opponent in this game, as they have no reason to exert themselves in a meaningless match. For the French players, it's more important to return to their clubs injury-free. Didier Deschamps is likely to give playing time to the second team.

It's also worth noting that Azerbaijan has not lost by more than three goals in their last 16 home World Cup qualifying matches. They've only lost by exactly 3 goals three times in this series. Additionally, France rarely thrashes opponents on the road. In their last 16 away World Cup qualifying matches, France has never won by a margin of 3 goals.

My prediction: Azerbaijan with a +3 handicap