Georgia vs Spain: prediction & betting odds 15 November 2025

The Matchday 9 World Cup 2026 qualifier between Georgia and Spain will take place on November 15 at the Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena in Tbilisi. Georgia vs. Spain: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Georgia

The current qualifying cycle hasn't been favorable for the team. After the first four rounds, Georgia has only secured one victory against Bulgaria, with the remaining matches ending in defeat. In their last encounter with Turkey, it was crucial for the team to earn at least a point, but ultimately, Willy Sagnol's side suffered a heavy 1-4 defeat. As a result, they remain third in the group, with a six-point gap from the second place. Mathematically, there's still a chance to climb into the top two, but Georgia will lose all hope if they don't defeat Spain or if Turkey doesn't lose to Bulgaria in a parallel match.

• The team has scored in 5 of their last 6 World Cup qualifying matches.
• Georgia's uncompromising streak in this tournament extends to 9 games (3 wins, 6 losses).
• The team has won with a handicap (+1.5) in 7 of their last 8 home World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Georgia (4-3-3)

Giorgi Mamardashvili – Giorgi Gocholeishvili, Guram Kashia, Saba Goglichidze, Luka Lochoshvili – Otar Kiteishvili, Nika Gagnidze, Anzor Mekvabishvili – Zuriko Davitashvili, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Budu Zivzivadze.

The main forward Georges Mikautadze will be unavailable due to injury. Midfielder Giorgi Kochorashvili is serving a suspension.

Spain

Under Luis de la Fuente, Spain is very close to securing a direct spot in the World Cup, with a chance to qualify without dropping a single point. The team has won all four of their previous qualifying matches, consistently scoring at least two goals per game. Their average scoring rate is 3.75 goals per 90 minutes. Equally impressive is that Spain has kept a clean sheet in each of these four games. They have already secured a top-two finish, and they will guarantee the top spot if they earn three points against Georgia and Turkey fails to defeat Bulgaria. If their main competitor loses, a draw will suffice. Notably, Spain's winning streak in World Cup qualifiers has reached eight matches, all of which were clean sheets. Additionally, the team has scored in 47 consecutive matches in this tournament.

• Spain's away winning streak in World Cup qualifiers spans 10 games (9 wins, 1 loss).
• At least two goals have been scored in 10 of Spain's last 12 matches in this tournament.
• The team has scored in 23 consecutive away World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Spain (4-3-3)

Unai Simon – Pedro Porro, Aymeric Laporte, Daniel Vivian, Alejandro Grimaldo – Mikel Merino, Martin Zubimendi, Dani Olmo – Alex Baena, Mikel Oyarzabal, Samu Chukwueze.

Referee

Benoit Bastien (France)

Matches – 15 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 69;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;

Red cards shown – 4;

Average fouls per match – 25;

Penalties – 33%.

Georgia vs. Spain: Match Prediction

Georgia has almost no chance of even securing second place in the group. During the current qualification, Willy Sagnol's side has lost 3 of 4 matches, with the last encounter ending in a heavy defeat. However, heavy losses are as rare for the team as matches with more than four goals. In their last 14 World Cup qualifying games, the team has lost 10 times, but only two matches saw five or more goals. On home soil, the five-goal mark was reached in only 1 of Georgia's last 22 matches in this tournament.

Spain is delivering perfect results in the current qualifying cycle, with their winning streak in this tournament extending to eight games. All matches have been clean sheets, and the team's scoring efficiency has determined the level of success. Spain has varied in their approach, winning some matches 1-0 and thrashing opponents in others, but in 7 of 8 games, they managed to score a maximum of four goals. It's worth noting that in 6 of their last 7 away World Cup qualifying matches, the limit was three goals.

My prediction: Spain to win and Total under 4.5 goals