The Matchday 4 clash in Serie A between Lecce and Cagliari will take place on September 19 at the Via del Mare Stadium. Lecce vs. Cagliari: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lecce
Eusebio Di Francesco's side suffered a heavy 1-4 defeat away to Atalanta in the previous round. As a result, Lecce recorded their second consecutive loss in the championship and only the second time in their last 19 Serie A matches they lost by more than two goals. However, the team managed to score their first goal of the current championship. In the standings, the club has one point and is in last place.
- The team has not won in 11 of their last 12 home matches in Serie A (3 draws, 8 losses).
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 9 of Lecce's last 11 home matches in the championship.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Lecce's last 9 home matches in Serie A.
Predicted lineup for Lecce (4-5-1)
Vladimiro Falcone – Antonino Gallo, Jamil Siebert, Kialonda Gaspar, Krist-Owen Kouassi – Riccardo Sottil, Lassana Coulibaly, Alex Sala, Ylber Ramadani, Tete Morente – Nikola Stulic.
Cagliari
In the previous round, Fabio Pisacane's side defeated Parma 2-0 at home. This was only the team's second victory in their last seven championship matches (1 draw, 4 losses) and their first in the current Serie A season. Furthermore, it was the first time in this season's championship that Cagliari managed to score more than one goal and also kept a clean sheet. The club occupies the eighth position in the standings with four points.
- The team has not won in 10 of their last 11 away matches in Serie A (3 draws, 7 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of Cagliari's last 7 away matches in the championship.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 5 of Cagliari's last 7 away matches in Serie A.
Predicted lineup for Cagliari (3-5-2)
Elia Caprile – Adam Obert, Yerry Mina, Sebastiano Luperto – Gabriele Zappa, Ndari Adopo, Matteo Prati, Michael Folorunsho, Gianluca Gaetano – Andrea Belotti, Sebastiano Esposito.
Forward Zito Luvumbo will miss the match due to injury.
Referee
Luca Zufferli (Italy)
Matches – 17 (Serie A, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 44;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 24%.
Lecce vs. Cagliari: Match Prediction
Neither team is known for attacking football, so I do not expect a high-scoring encounter. Lecce rarely delights their fans with effective attacking play even at home: in their last 12 home matches in the championship, the club's players have only surpassed the one-goal mark once, and in eight of those matches, they failed to score at all. Meanwhile, in their last nine home Serie A matches, the team has conceded more than one goal only three times, and in two of those cases, the opponent was Milan.
Cagliari also does not shine in terms of scoring, especially in away matches: in their last 11 away encounters in the championship, the team has only managed to score more than once on one occasion. In six of those matches, the Sardinians failed to score. It is also worth noting that in last season's Serie A, these rivals played a low-scoring match at Lecce's ground, scoring just one goal between them.
My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
