Coupe de France
Quarter-finals
Lorient
MATCH FINISHED
4 March
0
:
0
P
5
:
6
Nice
1
111/100
X
49/20
2
5/2
Under 2.5
19/20
Over 2.5
9/10
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19:45
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2.5
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1 29/50
X 333/100
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Under 2.5 59/50
2.5
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20:00
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X 29/10
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Under 2.5 91/100
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Over 2.5 93/100
17 March
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X 9/2
2 17/4
Under 2.5 7/4
2.5
Over 2.5 1/2
17 March
1 3/10
X 24/5
2 19/2
Under 2.5 13/10
2.5
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Lorient vs Nice: prediction & betting odds 4 March 2026

The Coupe de France quarter-final between Lorient and Nice will take place on 4 March at the Stade du Moustoir. Lorient vs Nice: prediction, betting odds and statistics.

Lorient

In the previous round, Lorient came through at home against Paris (2:0). In the two earlier rounds, the club faced semi-professional opponents away from home and dealt with them without any issues – Gosier (7:0) and O-Lyon (3:1). It is also worth noting that the home team have won six of their last seven matches in this tournament. Lorient last won the Coupe de France in 2002. Since then, the club have reached the semi-finals twice, while last season they went out early at the round of 32 stage.

  • At least three goals were scored in five of the team’s last six Coupe de France matches.
  • One of the teams failed to score in five of Lorient’s previous seven matches in this tournament.
  • On home soil, the club have not lost in normal time in six of their last seven Coupe de France matches (four wins and two draws).

Potential Lorient Lineup (3-4-2-1)*

Bingourou Kamara – Montassar Talbi, Nathaniel Adjei, Darlin Yongwa – Arsen Kouassi, Arthur Avom, Luca Leode, Noah Cadiou – Jordi Makengo, Dermane Karim – Sambou Soumano.

Nice

Nice have also come through three rounds in this season’s competition, but their opponents were far stronger – from the top two divisions in the country. At home, the away team edged past Saint-Etienne (2:1) and Montpellier (3:2), and away from home they laboured past Nantes (1:1, won on penalties 5:3). It is worth noting that in this century the club have reached the final once (in 2022). Last season, Nice went out in the round of 16, losing to the modest Stade Briochin (1:2).

  • The club have not lost in normal time in eight of their previous 10 Coupe de France matches (five wins and three draws).
  • Both teams to score landed in eight of Nice’s last nine matches in this tournament.
  • The team have scored in each of their previous seven away matches in the Coupe de France.

Potential Nice Lineup (4-2-3-1)*

Yehvann Diouf – Antoine Mendy, Brad-Hamilton Manzunga, Djuma Ba, Kodjo Oppong – Salis Abdul Samed, Charles Vanhoutte – Gabin Bernardeau, Isak Jansson, Tom Louchet – Zakaria Diallo.

Forward Sofiane Diop is out through suspension.

Referee

Bastien Dechepy (France)

Matches – 11 (Ligue 1 and the Coupe de France, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 48;

Yellow cards per match – 4.4;

Red cards shown – 4;

Fouls per match – 27;

Penalties – 55%.

Lorient vs Nice: Match Prediction

Interestingly, the two sides met only recently, on 22 February, and it finished in an entertaining 3:3 draw on Nice’s pitch. Their match in the first half of the Ligue 1 season was no less intriguing either, with Lorient beating their opponents 3:1. There is every chance the upcoming tie will also produce plenty of goals. We would recommend looking closely at both teams to score, and that bet has landed in six of the previous seven head-to-head meetings played in the league.

It is also worth noting that Lorient have looked excellent at home, where they have now gone 10 official matches without defeat. The club have scored in their last 15 home games across Ligue 1 and the Coupe de France. However, the hosts have conceded in eight of their last 11 official matches at their stadium. Nice have scored in 11 of their previous 16 away matches in official competitions, while the club have conceded in each of their last 28 official away games.

Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes

* For each team, the starting line-up from its previous match in this tournament is listed.

Betting tips 4 March 2026

The draw paired Lorient with OGC Nice, so even in the Coupe de France quarter-final the hosts are not considered underdogs, especially as they play at home. 

In Ligue 1, Lorient sit 10 points and five places above the visitors in the standings. As recently as November, Lorient were in the relegation zone, but by the end of February the squad had climbed to the bottom of the top half after a 3:3 away draw at OGC Nice. In that match they came back from 1:3 down, a scoreline established late in the first hour. The hosts sat deep and played on the counter, making the visitors' 3.24 xG even more surprising, while Lorient needed only 2.22 xG for their three goals. 

Since the start of 2026 they have been playing slightly better, but remain threatened by relegation, sitting six points above the play-off zone. This improvement is largely down to the return of Claude Puel, who knows the club well and arrived just before the New Year. Under him there has been only one heavy defeat – in round 18 of Ligue 1 against Toulouse (1:5). In almost all other matches across competitions the side have lost only by a one-goal margin (twice). However, they continue to struggle for consistency in attack: sometimes they score three, as against Lorient, and sometimes they fail to score at all, as in four of their last seven matches. 

In direct meetings between Lorient and OGC Nice over the last two years the Over 2.5 goals market has consistently paid out. It is difficult to pick a winner, so backing a high-scoring outcome looks the most reasonable option. 

Betting prediction
Over 2.5
Cf
Odds
41/50
Bet now

Lorient vs Nice Odds

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Coupe de France: Previous matches in the tournament

Lorient
04.02.26
Lorient
FC Paris
W
10.01.26
Hauts Lyonnais
Lorient
W
20.12.25
Gosier
Lorient
W
More matches
Nice
04.02.26
Nice
Montpellier
W
11.01.26
Nantes
Nice
1
:
1
3
:
5
P
D
21.12.25
Nice
AS Saint-Étienne
W
More matches

H2H: Lorient — Nice

Ligue 1 2025/26
22.02.26
Nice
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30.11.25
Lorient
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Ligue 1 2023-2024
19.04.24
Nice
Lorient
20.08.23
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Ligue 1 2022-2023
19.03.23
Nice
Lorient
30.10.22
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Ligue 1 2021-2022
17.04.22
Nice
Lorient
22.09.21
Lorient
Nice
Ligue 1 2020-2021
14.03.21
Lorient
Nice
23.12.20
Nice
Lorient
Ligue 1 2016-2017
18.02.17
Lorient
Nice
02.10.16
Nice
Lorient
Ligue 1 2015-2016
23.01.16
Nice
Lorient
01.12.15
Lorient
Nice
Ligue 1 2014-2015
10.01.15
Nice
Lorient
16.08.14
Lorient
Nice
Ligue 1 2013-2014
11.04.14
Nice
Lorient
1
:
2
29.11.13
Lorient
Nice
3
:
0
Ligue 1 2012-2013
08.02.13
Nice
Lorient
1
:
1
21.09.12
Lorient
Nice
1
:
1
Ligue 1 2011-2012
07.04.12
Nice
Lorient
2
:
0
26.11.11
Lorient
Nice
1
:
0
Ligue 1 2010-2011
20.05.11
Nice
Lorient
2
:
0
13.08.10
Lorient
Nice
1
:
2
Ligue 1 2009-2010
20.02.10
Nice
Lorient
1
:
0
18.10.09
Lorient
Nice
4
:
1
Ligue 1 2008-2009
11.04.09
Nice
Lorient
2
:
0
08.11.08
Lorient
Nice
0
:
1
Ligue 1 2007-2008
22.03.08
Nice
Lorient
1
:
2
27.10.07
Lorient
Nice
0
:
0
Ligue 1 2006-2007
03.03.07
Lorient
Nice
0
:
0
14.10.06
Nice
Lorient
3
:
0
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Andy H
Andy H
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