Luxembourg vs Germany: prediction & betting odds 14 November 2025

The Matchday 9 World Cup 2026 qualifying clash between Luxembourg and Germany will take place on November 14 at the Stade de Luxembourg. Luxembourg vs. Germany: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Luxembourg

In the last round, the team suffered a 0-2 defeat away to Slovakia. Luxembourg has lost all of its matches in the current qualifying cycle, and Jeff Strasser's side has failed to score in the last three games. With just one goal scored, Luxembourg is the least productive team in Group A. They are also at the bottom of the standings, with no chance of qualifying for the World Cup finals. Additionally, the team has conceded in 11 consecutive World Cup qualifiers.

• Luxembourg conceded first in 8 of their last 9 World Cup qualifying matches.
• At home, the team lost 5 of their last 6 matches in this tournament (1 win).
• The team has not conceded more than three goals in 5 of their last 6 World Cup qualifiers.

Predicted lineup for Luxembourg (4-5-1)

Anthony Moris – Laurent Jans, Seid Korac, Florian Bonert, Dirk Carlson – Danel Sinani, Leandro Barreiro, Mathias Olesen, Christopher Martins, Ayman Dardari – Edvin Muratovic.

Defender Enes Mahmutovic and forward Ivandro Borges are unavailable due to injuries.

Germany

Julian Nagelsmann's side secured a 1-0 victory away against Northern Ireland. The team won their third consecutive World Cup qualifier, scoring fewer than two goals for only the second time in their last 11 matches in this tournament. Nevertheless, Germany is the most prolific team in their group with 8 goals. They top Group A, and a win in the upcoming match, combined with Northern Ireland dropping points, will secure a top-two finish for Germany. A draw could also suffice if Northern Ireland loses.

• At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Germany's last 7 World Cup qualifiers.
• Away from home in this tournament, the team has won 20 of their last 21 matches (1 loss).
• Germany kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 7 away World Cup qualifiers.

Predicted lineup for Germany (4-5-1)

Oliver Baumann – Jonathan Tah, Waldemar Anton, Bote Baku, David Raum – Aleksandar Pavlovic, Florian Wirtz, Leon Goretzka, Leroy Sane, Serge Gnabry – Nick Woltemade.

Forward Karim Adeyemi is suspended. Midfielder Joshua Kimmich will miss the match due to injury.

Referee

John Brooks (England)

Matches – 7 (International matches, 2024/25 - 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 26;

Penalties – 29%.

Luxembourg vs. Germany: Match Prediction

In the first round, Germany defeated Luxembourg 4-0 at home. There's little to suggest that Julian Nagelsmann's side won't secure three points again this time. Even away in World Cup qualifiers, Germany has been dominant, winning 20 of their last 21 matches. Luxembourg, meanwhile, rarely provides joy for their fans at home, suffering 9 defeats in their last 12 World Cup qualifiers, with points only gained against Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, and Belarus.

For Germany, the key match will be against Slovakia in the final round, where the top spot will be decided. In such a scenario, Germany might conserve energy against Luxembourg, helping the hosts avoid a heavy defeat. Moreover, Luxembourg has not conceded more than three goals in 11 consecutive home World Cup qualifiers. However, Jeff Strasser's side will find it tough to score, as their opponents have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 7 away matches in this tournament.

My prediction: Germany to win and Total under 4.5 goals