The Matchday 3 clash in the 2025/26 UEFA Europa Conference League between Mainz (Germany) and Fiorentina (Italy) will take place on November 6 at the Mewa Arena. Mainz vs. Fiorentina: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Mainz
In the previous round, Bo Henriksen's side defeated Zrinjski at home (1-0). As a result, Mainz extended their winning streak in European competitions to three matches. Additionally, the team managed to keep a clean sheet for the fourth time in their last six European outings. It is also worth noting that the club has scored in 13 of their last 14 European matches. The Germans are in 6th place in the group stage standings with six points.
- The team has not lost in their last seven home matches in European competitions (4 wins, 3 draws).
- The club has not conceded more than one goal in their last seven home games in European competitions.
- Mainz has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 home matches in European club tournaments.
Predicted lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)
Robin Zentner – Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Silvan Widmer, Kacper Potulski – Dominik Kohr, Kaishu Sano, Lennard Maloney, Sota Kawasaki – Ben Bobzien, Nelson Weiper, William Boving.
Defender Anthony Caci will miss the match due to injury.
Fiorentina
In the last round, the Italians comfortably defeated Rapid away (3-0). As a result, Fiorentina secured their fifth consecutive win in the Europa Conference League, marking the club's longest streak in this European competition over the past three seasons. Furthermore, the team managed to keep a clean sheet for only the third time in their last ten ECL matches. Fiorentina, along with Cypriot side AEK, tops the group stage standings with identical records of goals scored and conceded, both having six points (5:0).
- The club has not lost in 12 of their last 15 away matches in the Europa Conference League (6 wins, 6 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of their last 8 away matches in this European competition.
- The Italians have scored exactly 1 or 2 times in 5 of their last 7 away matches in the ECL.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)
David De Gea – Pablo Mari, Pietro Comuzzo, Mattia Viti – Fabiano Parisi, Cher Ndour, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Nicolo Fagioli, Niccolo Fortini – Roberto Piccoli, Edin Dzeko.
Defenders Robin Gosens and Tariq Lamptey, as well as forward Christian Kouame, will not play due to injuries. Notably, the club dismissed head coach Stefano Pioli before this match, and Daniele Galloppa will take over his duties.
Referee
Lawrence Visser (Belgium)
Matches – 13 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 78;
Average yellow cards per match – 6;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 23%.
Match Prediction: Mainz vs. Fiorentina
At home, Mainz tends to play aggressively upfront, and despite lacking extensive experience in European competitions, they consistently find the net. In their last seven home matches in European competitions, the team has not left the pitch without scoring. However, the club cannot boast very high scoring; in six of these matches, the Germans scored exactly 1 or 2 goals.
Fiorentina's away performances have been mixed, but the team is certainly not satisfied with their defensive play. In their last nine away matches in the Europa Conference League, the Italians have only managed to keep a clean sheet twice. Nevertheless, the club has not suffered any major defensive collapses, and in six matches with goals conceded during this period, Fiorentina did not allow their opponents to score more than two goals.
I believe the hosts will score, but not excessively. My prediction: Exact number of Mainz goals: 1-2
