Premier League
29th round
Manchester City
MATCH FINISHED
4 March
2
:
2
Nottingham Forest
1
41/100
X
21/5
2
15/2
Under 2.5
27/20
Over 2.5
63/100
Upcoming games
This match has ended, please select an alternative match to bet on
1 X 2
Under Over
19:45
1 59/20
X 5/2
2 49/50
Under 2.5 43/50
2.5
Over 2.5 1/1
20:00
1 29/50
X 333/100
2 5/1
Under 2.5 59/50
2.5
Over 2.5 73/100
20:00
1 18/25
X 29/10
2 17/4
Under 2.5 91/100
2.5
Over 2.5 93/100
17 March
1 11/20
X 9/2
2 17/4
Under 2.5 7/4
2.5
Over 2.5 1/2
17 March
1 3/10
X 24/5
2 19/2
Under 2.5 13/10
2.5
Over 2.5 67/100
Show all

Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest: prediction & betting odds 4 March 2026

The matchday 29 Premier League clash between Manchester City and Nottingham Forest will take place on 4 March at the Etihad Stadium. Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest: prediction, betting odds and statistics.

Manchester City

The team played a tough away game on Saturday against Leeds, but thanks to one clinical finish they managed to beat the Premier League newcomers 1:0. That was a fourth straight league win, as well as a sixth consecutive unbeaten match in the Premier League (five wins and one draw). That impressive run has allowed them to cut the gap to Arsenal to five points, with the Sky Blues also having a game in hand. It is also worth noting that the club have lost top spot in the competition for goals scored (57), with the Gunners now leading by just one goal.

  • No more than three goals were scored in 13 of the previous 14 Premier League matches involving the Sky Blues.
  • Manchester City opened the scoring in seven of their last nine league games.
  • The team scored at least two goals in 11 of their previous 13 home Premier League matches.

Potential Manchester City Lineup (4-4-2)*

Gianluigi Donnarumma – Rayan Ait-Nouri, Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Marc Guehi – Rodri, Nico O'Reilly, Bernardo Silva, Rayan Cherki – Omar Marmoush, Antoine Semenyo.

Defender Josko Gvardiol and midfielder Mateo Kovacic are unavailable due to injuries. Striker Erling Haaland remains a doubt (recovering from a minor issue).

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, lost in the previous round. Playing away from home, the club came up short against Brighton, with the score ending 1:2. As a result, their winless run in the league has extended to five matches, with two draws and three defeats. It is also worth noting that across their last three Premier League games, Nottingham Forest have scored just once. The club are in a dangerous position, with the relegation zone only two points away. And, of course, we should add that the team have scored only 26 goals — just six more than Wolverhampton Wanderers, who have the worst attack in the competition.

  • No more than two goals were scored in five of Nottingham Forest's previous seven league matches.
  • Nottingham Forest have not scored more than once in their last five Premier League games.
  • The team's uncompromising away run in the Premier League stands at 11 matches — four wins and seven defeats.

Potential Nottingham Forest Lineup (4-5-1)*

Matz Sels – Ola Aina, Neco Williams, Nikola Milenkovic, Murillo – Omari Hutchinson, Elliot Anderson, Morgan Gibbs-White, Ibrahim Sangare, Callum Hudson-Odoi – Igor Jesus.

In the treatment room, the team have striker Chris Wood, defenders Willy Boly and Nicola Savona, and goalkeeper John Victor. Goalkeeper Stefan Ortega is a doubt (injury).

Referee

Darren England (England)

Matches – 16 (Premier League, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 63;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 19%.

Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest: Match Prediction

Nottingham Forest are clearly missing Chris Wood in attack. The New Zealander scored frequently last season and, thanks to his finishing, the team managed to qualify for European competition. But in this campaign the striker has spent a long period sidelined, and there is nobody to replace him. As a result, Nottingham Forest do not score many goals and, largely because of that, have dropped plenty of points. It will be very difficult for the visitors to compete with Manchester City, given the home side have hit excellent form — form that can be described as title-winning.

The hosts come into this match on the back of four straight league victories. On top of that, Manchester City have been superb at their own ground, winning 11 of their last 13 Premier League home matches, with just two draws. In that home run, the team won by a margin of two or more goals on nine occasions. We think there will be another convincing win for the Sky Blues in this contest. The same happened in each of the last three head-to-head meetings at the Etihad Stadium in the Premier League, and on none of those occasions did the hosts concede.

Prediction: Manchester City (-1.5)

* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their previous match in this competition.

Betting tips 4 March 2026

Without Erling Haaland, Manchester City found it harder in attack, but they still earned a 1:0 win over Leeds United, their fourth victory in a row. Now the hosts' forwards will try to find a way through against Nottingham Forest, who are capable of making the game very tight. 

In the home match against Newcastle United, when the Norwegian was still playing, Pep Guardiola’s side scored twice from 1.35 xG, and he provided the assist for Nico O'Reilly. Against Leeds United, however, they needed 2.00 xG for Antoine Semenyo’s only goal. We have to disappoint Nottingham Forest supporters: they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet. No team has managed to do that in the hosts' last 10 matches. For that to happen you need to go into the game with a new head coach and be from the same city, as Manchester United did in their 0:2 win. 

Only a little more than two weeks ago Nottingham Forest changed head coach yet again, with Vítor Pereira becoming attempt number four. It would be harsh to replace him after just two league rounds – although some might already be thinking about it. They failed to keep their goal intact against Liverpool (0:1) and Brighton & Hove Albion (1:2). However, a 3:0 away win over Fenerbahçe took them through to the UEFA Europa League round of 16 even after a 1:2 home defeat in the second leg. They clearly saved energy before the Premier League round, but it did not help against Brighton & Hove Albion: their late pressure did not bring any result. 

We do not think Nottingham Forest will keep a clean sheet, but they rarely concede more than two goals. The previous five league meetings between the sides all went under 3.5 goals, and the hosts failed to win only once, so the optimal option is to take this particular combination. 

Betting prediction
Manchester City to win + Under 3.5 – Yes
Cf
Odds
27/20
Bet now

Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
HANDICAP
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
Bookie1X2

Premier League: Previous matches in the tournament

Manchester City
28.02.26
Leeds United
Manchester City
W
21.02.26
Manchester City
Newcastle United
W
11.02.26
Manchester City
Fulham
W
08.02.26
Liverpool
Manchester City
W
01.02.26
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester City
D
24.01.26
Manchester City
Wolverhampton Wanderers
W
17.01.26
Manchester United
Manchester City
L
07.01.26
Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
D
04.01.26
Manchester City
Chelsea
D
01.01.26
Sunderland
Manchester City
D
27.12.25
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
W
20.12.25
Manchester City
West Ham United
W
14.12.25
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
W
06.12.25
Manchester City
Sunderland
W
02.12.25
Fulham
Manchester City
W
29.11.25
Manchester City
Leeds United
W
22.11.25
Newcastle United
Manchester City
L
09.11.25
Manchester City
Liverpool
W
02.11.25
Manchester City
Bournemouth
W
26.10.25
Aston Villa
Manchester City
L
18.10.25
Manchester City
Everton
W
05.10.25
Brentford
Manchester City
W
27.09.25
Manchester City
Burnley
W
21.09.25
Arsenal
Manchester City
D
14.09.25
Manchester City
Manchester United
W
31.08.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City
L
23.08.25
Manchester City
Tottenham Hotspur
L
16.08.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Manchester City
W
More matches
Nottingham Forest
01.03.26
Brighton and Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
L
22.02.26
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
L
11.02.26
Nottingham Forest
Wolverhampton Wanderers
D
06.02.26
Leeds United
Nottingham Forest
L
01.02.26
Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
D
25.01.26
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
W
17.01.26
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
D
06.01.26
West Ham United
Nottingham Forest
W
03.01.26
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
L
30.12.25
Nottingham Forest
Everton
L
27.12.25
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
L
22.12.25
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
L
14.12.25
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham Hotspur
W
06.12.25
Everton
Nottingham Forest
L
03.12.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Nottingham Forest
W
30.11.25
Nottingham Forest
Brighton and Hove Albion
L
22.11.25
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
W
09.11.25
Nottingham Forest
Leeds United
W
01.11.25
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
D
26.10.25
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
L
18.10.25
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
L
05.10.25
Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest
L
27.09.25
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
L
20.09.25
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
D
13.09.25
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
L
31.08.25
Nottingham Forest
West Ham United
L
24.08.25
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
D
17.08.25
Nottingham Forest
Brentford
W
More matches

H2H: Manchester City — Nottingham Forest

Premier League 2025/26
27.12.25
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
FA Cup 2024-2025
27.04.25
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Premier League 2024-2025
08.03.25
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
04.12.24
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Premier League 2023-2024
28.04.24
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
23.09.23
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Premier League 2022-2023
18.02.23
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
31.08.22
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Arsenal
31 21 7 3 61:22 70
2
Manchester City
30 18 7 5 60:28 61
3
Manchester United
30 15 9 6 54:41 54
4
Aston Villa
30 15 6 9 40:37 51
5
Liverpool
30 14 7 9 49:40 49
6
Chelsea
30 13 9 8 53:35 48
7
Brentford
29 13 5 11 44:40 44
8
Everton
30 12 7 11 34:35 43
9
Newcastle United
30 12 6 12 43:43 42
10
Bournemouth
30 9 14 7 44:46 41
11
Fulham
30 12 5 13 40:43 41
12
Brighton and Hove Albion
30 10 10 10 39:36 40
13
Sunderland
30 10 10 10 30:35 40
14
Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 33:35 39
15
Leeds United
30 7 11 12 37:48 32
16
Tottenham Hotspur
30 7 9 14 40:47 30
17
Nottingham Forest
30 7 8 15 28:43 29
18
West Ham United
30 7 8 15 36:55 29
19
Burnley
30 4 8 18 32:58 20
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
30 3 7 20 22:52 16
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Arsenal
15 12 2 1 35:9 38
2
Manchester City
15 11 3 1 36:11 36
3
Manchester United
15 10 3 2 30:17 33
4
Aston Villa
15 9 2 4 21:15 29
5
Liverpool
15 8 4 3 27:17 28
6
Newcastle United
15 8 2 5 28:24 26
7
Fulham
15 8 2 5 24:18 26
8
Sunderland
15 7 5 3 22:14 26
9
Brentford
14 7 4 3 24:15 25
10
Bournemouth
15 6 7 2 21:15 25
11
Brighton and Hove Albion
15 6 6 3 22:16 24
12
Chelsea
15 6 5 4 23:17 23
13
Leeds United
15 6 4 5 22:20 22
14
Everton
15 5 4 6 18:19 19
15
Crystal Palace
15 3 7 5 14:18 16
16
Nottingham Forest
15 3 5 7 13:19 14
17
West Ham United
15 3 4 8 18:28 13
18
Wolverhampton Wanderers
16 3 3 10 17:31 12
19
Burnley
15 2 5 8 15:23 11
20
Tottenham Hotspur
15 2 4 9 18:25 10
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Arsenal
16 9 5 2 26:13 32
2
Manchester City
15 7 4 4 24:17 25
3
Chelsea
15 7 4 4 30:18 25
4
Everton
15 7 3 5 16:16 24
5
Crystal Palace
15 7 2 6 19:17 23
6
Aston Villa
15 6 4 5 19:22 22
7
Manchester United
15 5 6 4 24:24 21
8
Liverpool
15 6 3 6 22:23 21
9
Tottenham Hotspur
15 5 5 5 22:22 20
10
Brentford
15 6 1 8 20:25 19
11
Newcastle United
15 4 4 7 15:19 16
12
Bournemouth
15 3 7 5 23:31 16
13
Brighton and Hove Albion
15 4 4 7 17:20 16
14
West Ham United
15 4 4 7 18:27 16
15
Fulham
15 4 3 8 16:25 15
16
Nottingham Forest
15 4 3 8 15:24 15
17
Sunderland
15 3 5 7 8:21 14
18
Leeds United
15 1 7 7 15:28 10
19
Burnley
15 2 3 10 17:35 9
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
14 0 4 10 5:21 4
Need Register or Need Login to access unique content: statistics, best odds, trends and tips. Login / Registration
Copy the token