Norway vs Estonia: prediction & betting odds 13 November 2025

The Matchday 9 clash in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers between Norway and Estonia will take place on November 13 at the Ullevaal Stadium in Oslo. Norway vs. Estonia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Norway

In their last match, Norway thrashed Israel 5-0 at home. Ståle Solbakken's side has won all six matches in this qualifying cycle, keeping clean sheets in four of them. As a result, the Scandinavians have secured a top-two spot in Group I, and a victory in the upcoming game, combined with Italy dropping points in their parallel fixture, will guarantee them the top spot. A draw might suffice if Italy loses. Notably, Norway boasts the best scoring record among all European qualifiers with 29 goals.


  • Forward Erling Haaland has scored in nine consecutive official matches for the national team.
  • At least one team failed to score in seven of Norway's last nine World Cup qualifying matches.
  • At home in this tournament, the Scandinavians have won five of their last six matches (1 draw).

Predicted lineup for Norway (4-3-3)

Ørjan Nyland – Leo Østigård, David Møller Wolfe, Julian Ryerson, Kristoffer Ajer – Oscar Bobb, Patrick Berg, Sander Berge – Erling Haaland, Alexander Sørloth, Antonio Nusa.


Midfielder Martin Ødegaard is not called up due to injury.

Estonia

In their previous match, Estonia shared the spoils with Moldova (1-1) at home, ending a four-game losing streak in World Cup qualifiers. However, the team has conceded in ten consecutive matches in this tournament. Nonetheless, Jürgen Henn's side has found the net in five of their seven matches in the current cycle, but one of the opponents they failed to score against was Norway. Estonia has already lost the chance to fight for a place in the World Cup finals.


  • Estonia has conceded at least twice in seven of their last nine World Cup qualifying matches.
  • Away in this tournament, the team has lost five of their last seven matches (1 win, 1 draw).
  • At least one goal has been scored in both halves in five of Estonia's last seven qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Estonia (4-5-1)

Karl Hein – Michael Lilander, Karol Mets, Märten Kuusk, Vlasi Sinjavski – Markus Soomets, Rocco Robert Shein, Martin Miller, Martin Vetkal, Kevin Palumets – Rauno Sappinen.


Defender Joonas Tamm is unavailable due to injury.

Referee

Matej Jug (Slovenia)


Matches – 5 (International matches, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 23;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 26;

Penalties – 20%.

Norway vs. Estonia: Match Prediction

In the first round, the Scandinavians secured a 1-0 victory. Estonia has conceded fewer than two goals only twice in this qualifying cycle, making it surprising that one of the teams they managed to hold off was the most prolific team in both the group and the entire qualification. Norway had a significant advantage but was unlucky in the finishing stages. In the other five matches, Solbakken's side scored at least three times. It's also worth highlighting Erling Haaland, the top scorer in this qualifying cycle.


I expect Norway to delight their fans with a bright and convincing victory. In three home matches in this qualifier, the team has scored 19 goals, even thrashing teams like Italy and Israel. Estonia, meanwhile, has lost four of their last five away qualifiers, conceding 14 goals in that span.


My prediction: Norway to win and Total Over 3.5 goals

Betting tips 13 November 2025

Norway are racing towards qualification for the World Cup. Before the decisive match against Italy, they need to confirm first place in Group I with a victory over fourth-placed Estonia.

There is a clear class gap here, and the opposition are unlikely to cope with the pace set by Norway. Any of the 10 most valuable players in the hosts’ squad is worth as much as the entire Estonia team (13 million euros). And what about Erling Haaland alone? Valued at 180 million, the striker has already scored 19 goals for Manchester City in three months this season, and in this World Cup qualification (UEFA) campaign he leads the scoring race with 12 goals. Consequently, the home side have a massive goal difference (+26), which the Italians simply will not cover.

Estonia are likely to be statistical bystanders in this match. They currently have seven goals scored, exactly one per game, but with a goal difference of (-10). The first-round match in Tallinn ended in a narrow defeat (0:1), which could be called a surprise. Norway created 2.39 xG, but the issue was that only 3 of 19 away shots hit the target.

Even at home Estonia struggled: when they travelled to Italy, instead of 1:3 it finished 0:5. A similar scenario is expected in Oslo. There will not be a repeat of Norway’s demolition of Moldova (11:1), but the margin should still be convincing. We are taking Estonia with a (+4.5) handicap: only once have they allowed the opponents more.

Betting prediction
Estonia (+4.5)
Cf
Odds
1/2
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Norway vs Estonia Odds

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OVER/UNDER
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World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Norway
11.10.25
Norway
Israel
W
09.09.25
Norway
Moldova
W
09.06.25
Estonia
Norway
W
06.06.25
Norway
Italy
W
25.03.25
Israel
Norway
W
22.03.25
Moldova
Norway
W
More matches
Estonia
14.10.25
Estonia
Moldova
D
11.10.25
Estonia
Italy
L
05.09.25
Italy
Estonia
L
09.06.25
Estonia
Norway
L
06.06.25
Estonia
Israel
L
25.03.25
Moldova
Estonia
W
22.03.25
Israel
Estonia
L
More matches

H2H: Norway — Estonia

World Cup
09.06.25
Estonia
Norway
Friendlies 2015-2016
23.03.16
Estonia
Norway
0
:
0
Friendlies 2014-2015
11.11.14
Norway
Estonia
0
:
1

Team lineups

Norway

Ståle Solbakken
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Ørjan Nyland
gk. 64 0
David Møller Wolfe
df. 15 0
Julian Ryerson
df. 37 0
Kristoffer Ajer
df. 46 0
Torbjørn Lysaker Heggem
df. 9 0
Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa
mf. 17 0
Oscar Bobb
mf. 13 0
Patrick Berg
mf. 36 0
Sander Berge
mf. 59 0
Alexander Sorloth
fw. 66 0
Erling Braut Håland
fw. 46 0
Estonia

J. Henn
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Karl Jakob Hein
gk. 42 0
Karol Mets
df. 101 0
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
df. 15 0
Märten Kuusk
df. 40 0
Rasmus Peetson
df. 23 0
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
df. 45 0
Kevor Palumets
mf. 15 0
Markus Soomets
mf. 19 0
Robi Saarma
mf. 11 0
Rocco Robert Shein
mf. 0 0
Rauno Sappinen
fw. 60 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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