Poland vs Netherlands: prediction & betting odds 14 November 2025

The Matchday 9 World Cup 2026 qualifying clash between Poland and the Netherlands will take place on November 14 at the National Stadium in Warsaw. Poland vs. Netherlands: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Poland

In the current qualifying cycle, Poland has suffered only one loss, which came in the 4th round away to Finland (1-2). Following this, the team changed its coach and has remained unbeaten, drawing with the Netherlands (1-1), and then defeating Finland (3-1) and Lithuania (2-0). The team trails the leading Dutch by three points, and a loss in this game would eliminate their chances of topping the group. Jan Urban's side needs at least a draw to secure the second position in the quintet.

• In their last 14 World Cup qualifying matches, Poland has suffered only 2 losses (10 wins and 2 draws).
• No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of Poland's last 7 games in this tournament.
• The team is on a 4-match winning streak at home in World Cup qualifiers.

Predicted lineup for Poland (4-5-1)

Kamil Grabara – Matty Cash, Jakub Kiwior, Pawel Wszolek, Bartosz Bereszynski – Sebastian Szymanski, Jakub Kaminski, Piotr Zielinski, Nicola Zalewski, Karol Swiderski – Robert Lewandowski.

Midfielder Bartosz Slisz and defender Przemyslaw Wisniewski are out due to yellow card accumulation. Defender Jan Bednarek and forward Krzysztof Piatek are sidelined with injuries.

Netherlands

Ronald Koeman's side enters this match on a 3-game winning streak in the current qualifying cycle. The team defeated Lithuania (3-2) and Malta (4-0) away, and also thrashed Finland (4-0) at home. The Dutch are unbeaten in World Cup qualifiers for 15 matches (12 wins and 3 draws). The team can secure direct qualification for the 2026 World Cup in this round if they beat Poland. Koeman's side has already guaranteed at least a second-place finish. Notably, the team has scored 22 goals in the group, while the other four teams combined have 25 goals.

• The Netherlands have scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 9 World Cup qualifying games.
• The team has kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 7 matches in this tournament.
• The Netherlands are unbeaten in their last 7 away World Cup qualifiers (5 wins and 2 draws).

Predicted lineup for the Netherlands (4-3-3)

Bart Verbruggen – Virgil van Dijk, Denzel Dumfries, Jurrien Timber, Micky van de Ven – Ryan Gravenberch, Tijjani Reijnders, Frenkie de Jong – Memphis Depay, Cody Gakpo, Noa Lang.

Forward Wout Weghorst is out due to illness.

Referee

Maurizio Mariani (Italy)

Matches – 16 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 54;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties – 31%.

Poland vs. Netherlands: Match Prediction

In the first round, Poland managed to draw with the Netherlands on their turf. I believe that in this match, they can at least avoid defeat. The tournament motivation pushes the hosts to play aggressively, as only a win will keep their hopes alive for the top spot. The Dutch, however, would be satisfied with a draw, as they are certain to collect points in their final home game against Lithuania.

Additionally, Poland is very strong at home. In their last 16 home World Cup qualifying matches, they have suffered only 1 defeat, with 13 wins and 2 draws. Moreover, Poland rarely concedes more than one goal in home matches in the current tournament.

Therefore, my prediction is "Poland to win or draw"