The Matchday 12 clash in La Liga between Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid will take place on November 9 at Campo de Vallecas. Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Rayo Vallecano
The team did not drop any points in October's La Liga matches; however, last weekend, Rayo Vallecano suffered a heavy defeat to Villarreal (0-4). Before this, the club had not lost by a three-goal margin in 15 league games. This ended a three-match winning streak for Iñigo Pérez's side in La Liga, and additionally, the Madrid team conceded for the first time in their last four matches in this tournament. In the La Liga standings, Rayo Vallecano has slipped to 10th place, having accumulated 14 points over 11 rounds.
- At least one team failed to score in Rayo's last 5 league games.
- Rayo Vallecano's uncompromising streak in La Liga stretches to 6 matches (3 wins, 3 losses).
- The club has not lost in 7 of their last 8 home matches in La Liga (2 wins, 5 draws).
Predicted lineup for Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1)
Augusto Batalla – Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Nobile Mendy, Pep Chavarría – Pathé Ciss, Pedro Díaz – Isi Palazón, Jorge de Frutos, Álvaro García – Aleman.
Defenders Luis Felipe and Abdul Mumin are unavailable due to injuries.
Real Madrid
Xabi Alonso's side rarely falters in the Spanish league. The convincing victory over Valencia (4-0) last week marked Real's fourth consecutive win in La Liga and their 10th in the first 11 rounds. Having secured 30 out of a possible 33 points, the team leads the table alone. The gap from Barcelona is 5 points. The Madrid team consistently scores in all matches of the current La Liga season, with their overall scoring streak in this tournament extending to 27 games. Real shares the top spot in the league for the fewest goals conceded (10). In terms of goals scored, the team ranks second (26 goals) – only behind Barcelona (28).
- The club has scored in 12 consecutive away La Liga matches.
- Real Madrid's uncompromising streak in La Liga has reached 25 matches (21 wins, 4 losses).
- The team has scored at least 2 goals in 9 of their last 10 league matches.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)
Thibaut Courtois – Federico Valverde, Éder Militão, Dean Heysen, Álvaro Carreras – Aurélien Tchouaméni, Arda Güler, Jude Bellingham – Franco Mastantuono, Vinícius Júnior, Kylian Mbappé.
Goalkeeper Andriy Lunin has served his suspension. Due to injuries, defenders David Alaba, Antonio Rüdiger, and Dani Carvajal, as well as midfielder Aurélien Tchouaméni, will miss the match. Midfielder Franco Mastantuono's participation is in doubt.
Referee
Juan Martínez (Spain)
Matches – 20 (La Liga, 2024/25 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 103;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.1;
Red cards shown – 7;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 20%.
Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction
In the last La Liga round, Rayo Vallecano suffered a heavy defeat, but such setbacks are rare. The team usually manages to challenge almost any opponent, and even in tough matches, the Madrid side regularly finds a moment to score. Iñigo Pérez's side has scored in 5 of their last 7 league matches, and when considering strictly home games, Rayo Vallecano has found the net in 6 of their last 8 encounters in this tournament.
Real remains one of the most reliable clubs in La Liga, but on average, the team concedes almost 1 goal per game throughout the season. Xabi Alonso's side has kept a clean sheet in only 3 of their last 9 league matches, and 2 of these 3 games were at home. Importantly, Real has kept a clean sheet in only 1 of their last 6 encounters with Rayo Vallecano in La Liga.
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to score – Yes
