The Matchday 8 fixture of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers between San Marino and Cyprus will take place on October 12 at the San Marino Stadium in Serravalle. San Marino vs. Cyprus: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
San Marino
In the last round, Roberto Cevoli's team suffered a humiliating 0-10 defeat away to Austria. Moreover, San Marino has lost 59 consecutive matches in World Cup qualification, failing to score in their last four outings. Over the last three qualifiers, they have conceded 20 goals. The team has not earned a single point and sits at the bottom of the group standings.
- The team has failed to score in 12 of their last 14 home matches in World Cup qualification.
- San Marino has conceded at least three goals in their last six home qualifiers for the World Cup.
- They have trailed at halftime in their last six home World Cup qualifiers.
Predicted lineup for San Marino (4-5-1)
Edoardo Colombo – Marco Pazolini, Michele Cevoli, Giacomo Valentini, Alberto Riccardi – Lorenzo Capicchioni, Samuele Zannoni, Alessandro Golinucci, Andrea Contadini, Filippo Berardi – Nicola Nanni.
Defenders Tommaso Benvenuti and Filippo Fabbri will miss the match due to injuries.
Cyprus
In the last round, Apostolos Mantzios's team faced Bosnia at home. Cyprus was trailing by two goals but managed to salvage a draw with a last-minute equalizer (2-2). However, the team extended their winless streak in World Cup qualification to five matches (2 draws, 3 losses). With five points, Cyprus sits fourth in the group.
- The team has lost their last ten away matches in World Cup qualification.
- Cyprus has failed to score in 8 of their last 10 away World Cup qualifiers.
- They have conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 away qualifiers for the World Cup.
Predicted lineup for Cyprus (4-3-3)
Neofytos Michael – Andreas Siikkis, Stelios Andreou, Konstantinos Laifis, Anderson Correia – Grigoris Kastanos, Kostakis Artymatas, Charalambos Charalambous – Marinos Tzionis, Ioannis Pittas, Loizos Loizou.
Referee
Aliyar Aghayev (Azerbaijan)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 33%.
San Marino vs. Cyprus: Match Prediction
San Marino, the weakest team in Europe and the clear underdog of the group, struggles immensely to score goals. Even at home, they rarely find the net, having scored in only two of their last 14 home World Cup qualifiers. Moreover, in their last three official meetings with Cyprus, San Marino has failed to score.
Cyprus also lacks high scoring, especially in away games. Over their last ten away World Cup qualifiers, they have scored only twice. Additionally, Cyprus has not scored more than two goals in any of their last 19 World Cup qualifiers.
I do not expect a high-scoring affair in this matchup. My prediction: Total under 3.5 goals
