Turkey vs Bulgaria: prediction & betting odds 15 November 2025

Matchday 9 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying tournament between Turkey and Bulgaria will take place on November 15 at the Bursa Büyükşehir Belediye Stadium. Turkey vs. Bulgaria: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Turkey

The team is highly likely to remain in second place in the group and will compete for a World Cup spot in the playoffs. Over the last four qualifying rounds, Turkey has secured three victories, including two recent games where they thrashed their opponents with a total score of 10-2. However, Vincenzo Montella's team previously suffered a heavy 0-6 defeat to Spain, leaving them three points behind the leaders. Additionally, the competitor has a significant goal difference advantage, which will be decisive in case of a points tie. Climbing to the top spot is nearly impossible, but Turkey guarantees themselves a top-two finish if they don't lose to Bulgaria or if Georgia fails to beat Spain.

  • The team has scored in 6 of their last 7 home World Cup qualifiers.
  • Both teams have scored in 5 of Turkey's previous 6 matches in this tournament.
  • The team has won 6 of their last 8 World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Turkey (4-2-3-1)

Uğurcan Çakır – Mert Müldür, Abdülkerim Bardakcı, Merih Demiral, Ferdi Kadıoğlu – İsmail Yüksek, Hakan Çalhanoğlu – Oğuz Aydın, Arda Güler, Kenan Yıldız – Kerem Aktürkoğlu.

Bulgaria

In the previous round, the team was decisively defeated by Spain (0-4). Bulgaria once again failed to secure their first points in the current qualifying cycle, suffering their fourth consecutive defeat. It's particularly concerning that in all four matches, the team lost by a large margin, managing to score in only one of these games. The team changed their head coach in September, but Aleksandar Dimitrov's arrival has yet to yield any positive results. Bulgaria no longer has a chance to participate in the playoffs; at best, they can aim for third place in the group, but they still need to make up three points on Georgia.

  • Bulgaria has conceded in 7 consecutive World Cup qualifiers.
  • The team's uncompromising streak in this tournament is 8 matches (2 wins, 6 losses).
  • The team has not won in 12 consecutive away World Cup qualifying matches (3 draws, 9 losses).

Predicted lineup for Bulgaria (4-5-1)

Dimitar Mitov – Hristiyan Petrov, Rosen Bozhinov, Atanas Chernev, Martin Georgiev – Stanislav Shopov, Ilia Gruev, Filip Krastev, Martin Minchev, Radoslav Kirilov – Kiril Despodov.

Referee

Nicholas Walsh (Scotland)

Matches – 5 (International matches, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 27;

Penalties – 40%.

Turkey vs. Bulgaria: Match Prediction

This matchup features teams whose games are regularly entertaining and eventful. Turkey can be considered one of the most exciting teams in the current qualifying cycle, with at least five goals scored in all four of Vincenzo Montella's team's matches, totaling 23 goals across four games. Overall, Turkey has played eight consecutive high-scoring matches in this tournament, with the three-goal mark surpassed in 7 of their last 8 home World Cup qualifiers.

Bulgaria has consistently lost by a large margin during this qualifying campaign, suffering heavy defeats in five consecutive matches. In 3 out of these 5 games, the team conceded at least four goals. In terms of overall scoring, 3 or more goals have been scored in 7 of Bulgaria's World Cup qualifying matches.

Prediction – Total over 3 goals

Turkey vs Bulgaria Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
Bookie1X2

World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Turkey
14.10.25
Turkey
Georgia
W
11.10.25
Bulgaria
Turkey
W
07.09.25
Turkey
Spain
L
04.09.25
Georgia
Turkey
W
More matches
Bulgaria
14.10.25
Spain
Bulgaria
L
11.10.25
Bulgaria
Turkey
L
07.09.25
Georgia
Bulgaria
L
04.09.25
Bulgaria
Spain
L
More matches

H2H: Turkey — Bulgaria

World Cup
11.10.25
Bulgaria
Turkey
Friendlies 2014-2015
08.06.15
Turkey
Bulgaria
4
:
0
Friendlies 2012
29.05.12
Bulgaria
Turkey
0
:
2

Team lineups

Turkey

Vincenzo Montella
coach
Player Matches Goals
Bulgaria

Aleksandar Dimitrov
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Dimitar Veselinov Mitov
gk. 12 -21
Aleks Bozhev
gk. 0 0
Dimitar Evtimov
gk. 0 0
Kristian Traychev Dimitrov
df. 20 1
Hristiyan Petrov
df. 7 0
Rosen Petkov Bozhinov
df. 3 0
Atanas Chernev
df. 1 0
Martin Georgiev
df. 1 0
Stefan Velkov
df. 1 0
Ivaylo Chochev
mf. 49 4
Filip Krastev
mf. 26 1
Ilia Gruev
mf. 25 0
Viktor Popov
mf. 24 0
Martin Petkov
mf. 20 3
Andrian Kraev
mf. 16 1
Stanislav Tihomirov Shopov
mf. 7 0
Ivan Orlinov Yordanov
mf. 4 0
Kristiyan Stoyanov Stoyanov
mf. 2 0
Kiril Despodov
fw. 58 15
Martin Yankov Minchev
fw. 26 0
Georgi Rosenov Rusev
fw. 19 1
Vladimir Nikolaev Nikolov
fw. 7 0
Zdravko Dimitrov
fw. 6 0
Stanislav Ivanov
fw. 5 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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