Both teams are in good form and are competing for a place in the play-offs. Viktoria Plzeň are fifth in the overall stage standings, Fenerbahçe are 14th, but they have won their last two matches in the tournament.
The hosts have gathered momentum with a six-match unbeaten run (five wins, one draw). In the UEFA Europa League, Viktoria Plzeň convincingly defeated Malmö FF (3:0) and sensationally took three points away at AS Roma (2:1). The Czech side are traditionally strong at home: in their last 14 European matches they have 11 wins and only two defeats. However, against Fenerbahçe they have a negative record (two draws, two defeats). The team’s average home scoring rate in Europe is 2.1 goals.
Fenerbahçe are also in excellent form: seven matches unbeaten (six wins, one draw). In the UEFA Europa League, after a setback against Dinamo Zagreb (1:3) they beat OGC Nice (2:1) and Stuttgart (1:0). The visitors concede few (on average 0.9 goals per match), but away from home in European competitions they are inconsistent — just one win in their last four.
The opponents are similar in level and current form. Viktoria Plzeň are dangerous at home, but Fenerbahçe are more balanced and disciplined in defence. Both teams seldom suffer heavy defeats and often play the under 2.5 goals bet. This match is likely to be tight with few chances. Their two head-to-head meetings in 2013 both went under 2.5 goals. We opt for insurance with an under 3 goals bet.