Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the UFC 321 fight.
Aleksandar Rakic
Rakic will aim to distract his opponent with straight punches and quick jabs to control the distance. Once he finds his rhythm, he will follow up with long crosses and looping hooks. Early on, the Austrian will focus mainly on head strikes while mixing in occasional low kicks to test Murzakanov’s reactions. From the second round, Rakic is expected to attack the body more often, targeting the liver with heavy mid kicks and punching downward to catch the Russian as he leans away. Since Murzakanov tends to retreat after exchanges, Rakic will prepare a powerful high kick to land as his rival moves back.
Azamat Murzakanov
Murzakanov will rely on feints to lure Rakic into committing first and then punish him with sharp counters. He will keep a tight guard and use fast double combinations to the chin. The Russian is likely to invest in body shots before launching a sudden uppercut or overhand to the head. If Rakic throws a kick too close, Murzakanov may attempt a takedown and look to dominate on the mat. From top position he usually isolates the opponent’s legs before finishing with strong ground-and-pound.
Betting Odds
Bookmakers slightly favour Rakic. Despite his recent run of three defeats, his technical ability and reach advantage make him a dangerous opponent, with his odds standing at 9/10. The undefeated Murzakanov, known for his speed and explosive power, is priced at 10/11.
Aleksandar Rakic vs Azamat Murzakanov Prediction
Rakic will struggle to match Murzakanov’s pace and deal with his varied striking angles, yet his physical advantages could prove decisive. With a 17-centimetre reach edge, Rakic has the tools to control distance, score consistently with kicks and counters, and frustrate the Russian’s forward bursts. His disciplined style and defensive awareness should prevent him from falling for Murzakanov’s feints. In a tactical, closely contested fight, Rakic’s accuracy and volume can be enough to win on the judges’ scorecards.