AC Milan continue their pursuit of the Scudetto, while Fiorentina are fighting for survival. The gap in quality and consistency is obvious, but home advantage and the hosts’ current form add extra nuance.
Fiorentina
Fiorentina are second from bottom with 13 points from 19 matches. There are, however, signs of improvement: seven points from their last four games is more than they collected in the previous fifteen. The problem is structural – dropping points: they have already let 18 points slip from winning positions, the worst record in the league. At home, the squad are inconsistent and concede regularly, but in recent rounds they have started to create more chances and score more often.
AC Milan
AC Milan have suffered only one defeat all season and none away from home: five wins and three draws. They average around 1.6 goals per away match, while the visitors play pragmatically and rarely get involved in open, end-to-end games. In recent rounds, they have not always dominated the play, but they consistently avoid defeat. Rafael Leão is in good form – he has six goals in eight Serie A matches against Fiorentina.
Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction
Fiorentina have improved, but they remain vulnerable under pressure and often collapse in the closing stages. AC Milan are careful away from home, control the tempo and know how to bring such matches to the required result without heavy scorelines. A cautious game script with the visitors protected against defeat and a moderate goal total looks the most likely outcome.
