The rescheduled match between Hamburger and Bayer 04 Leverkusen is extremely important for both teams. They are in a vulnerable position: the hosts remain four points above the relegation play-off zone, while the visitors sit behind the Champions League places.
Hamburger
At the weekend, the hosts' unbeaten run came to an end as they lost for the first time since 10 January. Against RB Leipzig (1:2), Merlin Polzin’s side were not afraid to take risks and generated 0.82 xG, but Leipzig secured the win thanks to their greater quality, accumulating 2.29 expected goals. For the hosts, the Both Teams to Score – Yes bet has landed for the third home game in a row and in seven of nine matches since the start of November.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
They are winless in three matches in a row, which is bound to affect the players’ morale before the Champions League round of 16 tie against Arsenal. On Saturday against Mainz 05 (1:1), they only equalised at the end thanks to a goal from Jarell Quansah, despite creating enough chances (1.28-0.74 in xG). Away from home, they have accumulated 18.6 expected goals in 11 matches, the sixth-best figure in the Bundesliga, and all the teams above them have played one game more.
Hamburger vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction
Both Teams to Score – Yes has landed in three of Leverkusen’s last four away matches. The hosts tend to play open football at home, so they are likely to take risks in pursuit of these vital points, which increases the chances of goals at both ends.
