Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the 2026 World Cup Qualifiers match.
This match holds no bearing on the qualification outcome for either side: Japan have already secured top spot in the group and a place at the World Cup, while Indonesia are guaranteed to progress to the next stage of qualifying. However, with home advantage on their side, several players in the Japan squad will be looking to make their case for continued inclusion. Indonesia, meanwhile, will aim to deliver a respectable performance against the strongest squad in the group.
Japan
Japan have dominated the group stage, amassing 20 points and boasting a goal difference of +22 — the best in the group. They are unbeaten in their last four home games, scoring 10 goals in that span. Although some rotation is expected and debutants may be introduced, the squad remains well-balanced and competitive. Japan traditionally rely on disciplined organisation, a solid defensive structure, and rapid transitions.
Indonesia
Indonesia have managed to spring a few surprises during the campaign, notably defeating Bahrain and China, which helped them secure fourth place in the group with confidence. However, defensive issues have been a recurring theme — they have conceded 10 goals across four away games, including a heavy 1:5 loss to Australia. In the past 18 months, Indonesia have faced Japan twice and lost both times by margins of at least two goals (1:3 and 0:4).
Japan vs Indonesia Prediction
Given their ongoing defensive vulnerabilities, Indonesia tend to struggle against squads with a clear attacking framework. Japan typically assert control on home soil, and even with rotation, the squad should be capable of maintaining sustained pressure throughout the match.
