Toulouse have gone too far with their minimalistic approach. One goal is no longer enough to win. Against Olympique de Marseille in the Coupe de France quarter-final, that will clearly not be sufficient to reach the next round.
Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille once again showed that scoring twice against them does not guarantee victory. Last week, in the match against Olympique Lyonnais, they came from behind to claim a hard-fought 3:2 victory. The decisive impact came from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who scored twice late on.
In 2026 they have not won every match, but their games have been very open: in their last 10 matches in all competitions the total has gone over 2.5 goals nine times, and over 3.5 goals six times.
Toulouse
It may seem that Toulouse are not that sort of team, but recall the end of the summer when Paris Saint-Germain dragged them into a goalfest that finished 3:6. With six under bets in their last seven matches, people have started to view them as a minimalistic side, though earlier the over bets landed quite regularly.
In the seven-match run before their current spell, five games produced at least three goals; that sequence began with a 2:2 draw at the Stade Vélodrome.
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction
When Toulouse face Olympique de Marseille, matches tend to be full of goals. Each of the last four meetings between the sides — and six of the last seven — has seen the over 3.5 goals bet win. So while Toulouse may look modest and cautious against some opponents, against Marseille they open up and play more adventurously.
Given both clubs’ recent scoring trends and their head-to-head history, we consider the over on the total goals market to be the right option here.
