Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Conference League match.
Rayo Vallecano, after a crushing 0:4 defeat to Villarreal, are eager for rehabilitation at Estadio de Vallecas, where they have won their last two UEFA Europa Conference League matches, while Lech Poznań arrive in Madrid after a sensational 1:2 loss to Lincoln Red Imps in the previous round.
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano have taken four points in the UEFA Europa Conference League: a 2:0 victory over KF Shkëndija and a hard-fought draw with Häcken, where they equalised late in the game. In the last round of LaLiga, the team outplayed Villarreal in terms of possession and created a lot of chances (13-16 in shots), but made four costly errors. However, they return to their home ground, where they have lost only once (0:1 to Sevilla).
Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań defeated Rapid Wien (4:1) in the UEFA Europa Conference League, but failed in the match against Lincoln Red Imps (1:2) – xG was 3.25, but finishing let them down. However, the misstep against the Gibraltarians is their only one in the last 10 matches. The defence is a problem, though. Only three clean sheets during this period and the worst record among the top-7 clubs in the PKO BP Ekstraklasa (20 goals conceded). Even in the UEFA Europa Conference League, they conceded three times from 1.5 xGA.
Rayo Vallecano vs Lech Poznań Prediction
The visitors are playing well in recent matches, but lack defensive reliability. The hosts should take advantage of this, returning to their home stadium where they look strong.
