Rayo Vallecano's demanding schedule at the start of 2026 is certain to affect the players' physical condition in the match against RCD Mallorca. The teams are neighbours in the lower half of the La Liga standings, and their minimal cushion above the relegation zone is likely to make this a cautious head-to-head meeting.
Rayo Vallecano
Last weekend's 1:1 draw with Getafe extended Rayo Vallecano's winless run in La Liga to eight matches. The hosts produced only 0.66 xG over 90 minutes against a defensive opponent, and similar numbers are expected from them on Sunday. They have underperformed their xG by more than 12 goals (scoring only 14) – the worst record in the Spanish top flight.
RCD Mallorca
RCD Mallorca, by contrast, saw a solid four-match unbeaten run in La Liga come to an end in the last round. The visitors have collected only five points away from home in nine La Liga matches – over their last four away fixtures they have picked up just two points and scored a total of two goals. On Sunday, the squad, coached by Jagoba Arrasate, will be without key midfielder Manu Morlanes due to injury.
Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca Prediction
On Tuesday Rayo Vallecano also expended energy in a cup tie against Granada (3:1). A draw would be an acceptable outcome for RCD Mallorca in the upcoming round; with the hosts likely to control possession at home in front of their supporters, the visitors should prioritise defensive stability and avoid unnecessary risks, which supports a prediction of a low-scoring match and under 2.5 goals.
