The hosts are sixth with 39 points, just three points off fourth place. The visitors are 15th with 19 points and are under pressure from the relegation play-off zone. The gap in quality is reflected in the standings, but the market overestimates both sides’ attacking potential. The statistics point to a different type of match.
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig beat Köln 2:1, but before that lost 0:2 to Bayern Munich in the cup. Over their last four matches they have one win, one draw and two defeats, scoring four and conceding six. With 39.5 xG for the season, the team are in the league’s top two for chances created, but their finishing is inconsistent. In four of their last eight Bundesliga matches they have conceded at least twice, although before their recent poor run at home they had won seven in a row. In September, in the head-to-head meeting, they won 1:0.
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg have lost three matches in a row and are winless in four. Over this stretch they have scored three and conceded seven. Away from home they have suffered three straight defeats. Even against Borussia Dortmund they lost 1:2, conceding the decisive goal in the 87th minute, and were second best again in xG for chances created. After 21 rounds they have 19 points and a negative goal difference. There is no stability in attack: they are averaging fewer than one goal per away game.
RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg Prediction
RB Leipzig control the ball and create a high volume of chances, but in their current form they do not commit forward without caution. Wolfsburg are cautious away from home and score rarely, having found the net only twice in their last three away matches. With the 1:0 head-to-head pattern and the visitors’ current trend, everything points towards a tight match. In the last 10 meetings in all competitions played at their ground, the suggested bet has won seven times.
