St. Pauli are moving away from the safety zone – the gap to Mainz 05 in the relegation play-off place has grown to four points. Stuttgart should take advantage of St. Pauli’s current condition, as the visitors are consolidating their position in the top four of the Bundesliga.
St. Pauli
Elimination from the DFB-Pokal by Bayer 04 Leverkusen (0:3) was St. Pauli’s fourth defeat in six matches in 2026. They have not won since 13 December – in this period they have scored more than one goal only in the match against Borussia Dortmund (2:3). The side are by some distance the weakest in the league in terms of chance creation (19.85 xG in 20 matches) and they also have the worst actual goals tally (18).
Stuttgart
Over 20 matches Stuttgart have accumulated 38.23 xG – only three teams in the league have a higher figure. They are taking their chances confidently, scoring seven goals in their wins over Borussia Mönchengladbach (3:0), Young Boys (3:2) and Freiburg (1:0). Since the beginning of December the team have won four of their five away matches – the only exception was the game against AS Roma in Rome (0:2).
St. Pauli vs Stuttgart Prediction
Both head-to-head meetings with St. Pauli in 2025 were won by Stuttgart (1:0 and 2:0). They will definitely have more energy left after the cup match, which will be important in a week with two fixtures.
