Garry vs Prates Prediction and Betting Odds

Ian Harry will face Carlos Prates in a welterweight bout. The fight will take place at UFC on ESPN 66 on 26 April at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Kansas. 

Below is a breakdown of the odds predictions and an exclusive Prates vs Garry fight prediction.

Who will win the fight?

Garry

4/5

Prates

1/1

Garry vs Prates Betting Odds

A closely contested matchup is expected. Ian Garry has proven himself capable of competing with the division's elite, with his only career loss coming against the formidable Shavkat Rakhmonov. The odds for a Garry victory stand at 4/5

Garry vs Prates odds

Carlos Prates brings dangerous knockout power to the octagon, though his striking defence remains a concern. He boasts a clear edge in physical strength over the Irishman, but trails in speed and technical precision. A bet on Prates to win is priced at 101/100

Statistics and Physical data

Garry holds a 2 inches height advantage, while Prates has a 4 inches reach advantage — a key factor in mid-range exchanges. The Brazilian will look to utilise his length to land straight punches, forcing Garry to rely on movement and defensive awareness.

Ian Machado Garry

• Former Cage Warriors Fighting Championship welterweight titleholder. Earned one UFC Performance of the Night bonus. Holds a black belt in judo.
• 16 fights, 15 wins, 1 loss.

Ian Machado Garry odds to win

Bonus £30

Bet

4/5

Ian gained recognition for his spirited and competitive showing against Shavkat Rakhmonov. A self-professed lover of the fight game, he accepted a high-risk bout against power-puncher Carlos Prates, potentially positioning himself for a title eliminator.

He will look to control distance with front kicks and lateral movement outside his opponent’s lead hand. Once settled behind a tight guard, he will mix in sharp one-two combinations and aim for the liver with strong mid-kicks. He’ll avoid unnecessary close-range exchanges, opting instead to land hooks from range. 

Early in the fight, Garry will use light low kicks to bait Prates into reacting, setting up heavier leg attacks and oblique kicks to the thigh. He’ll cap off his striking sequences with overhands, especially if Prates becomes overly aggressive and drops his guard.

Garry’s Last 5 Fights

Carlos Prates

• Former SFT welterweight champion. Recipient of four UFC Performance of the Night bonuses.

• 27 fights, 21 wins, 6 losses.

Carlos Prates odds to win

Bonus £10

Bet

19/20

Carlos Prates has become a standout finisher in the UFC, capable of ending fights with a single clean punch. All four of his UFC appearances have ended inside the distance, and he has not seen a third round since 2021. 

He will launch a high number of heavy straight punches, showing little hesitation in absorbing return shots. To counter Garry’s lateral movement, he’ll look to land powerful hooks and target the lead leg with damaging low kicks. He’ll also use his knees defensively to check kicks and respond with sharp jabs.

Expect Prates to try and cut off the cage, using pressure and body shots — particularly knees — to wear down Garry. Should he absorb too much damage, he may initiate a clinch and rely on his strength to hold position along the cage.

Prates’ Last 5 Fights

Garry vs Prates Prediction

The opening round is likely to feature frequent jabs and low kicks from both fighters. Either could seize an early opportunity to push for a finish. The tempo is expected to rise in the second round, with Ian Garry increasing his kicking output and Carlos Prates pushing forward more aggressively.

As the fight progresses, the chances of a stoppage grow. Prates will likely adopt a high-pressure strategy in the later rounds, aiming for a knockout, though this appears an unlikely outcome.

While Garry may not match Prates in raw power, he holds the edge in speed and defensive technique. He will look to frustrate the Brazilian by denying him range and landing cleaner, more accurate counters. Our prediction is that Ian Garry will land more significant strikes and secure a win by decision.

Ian Machado Garry to win

Bonus £30

Bet

4/5