Premier League Outright Odds for 2025/26
Match-day 1X2 markets are the bread and butter of Premier League betting, but outright markets often carry more value. Title winner, top-four finish, and relegation lines let you back your season-long view at a single price — and the odds shift significantly as the campaign unfolds.
Arsenal are heavy odds-on favourites heading into the final stretch. They lead the table on 57 points from 26 matches and have lost just twice all season. Manchester City, four points back and with a game in hand, are the only realistic challenger at 2/1–12/5.
Below Aston Villa at 50/1–100/1, prices jump to four figures. Liverpool — defending champions who won the title on 84 points under Arne Slot last season — sit 15 points off the pace in 8th and are 150/1–250/1 outsiders.
Team | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power | Coral |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Arsenal | 4/11 | 1/4 | 3/10 | 4/11 |
Manchester City | 2/1 | 3/1 | 9/4 | 9/4 |
Aston Villa | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 66/1 |
Manchester United | 100/1 | 80/1 | — | 66/1 |
Chelsea | 250/1 | 200/1 | — | 150/1 |
Liverpool | 250/1 | 250/1 | — | 250/1 |
Brentford | 1000/1 | 1000/1 | 500/1 | 1000/1 |
Newcastle United | 1500/1 | 1000/1 | 500/1 | 1000/1 |
Most Wins in the Premier League
Liverpool claimed their second Premier League title in 2024/25, finishing on 84 points under first-year manager Arne Slot. It was their record-equalling 20th English top-flight championship overall. And only seven clubs have won the Premier League since its inception in 1992/93 — a testament to how concentrated success has been at the top.
# | Club | Titles | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|
1 | Manchester United | 13 | 1992/93, 1993/94, 1995/96, 1996/97, 1998/99, 1999/00, 2000/01, 2002/03, 2006/07, 2007/08, 2008/09, 2010/11, 2012/13 |
2 | Manchester City | 8 | 2011/12, 2013/14, 2017/18, 2018/19, 2020/21, 2021/22, 2022/23, 2023/24 |
3 | Chelsea | 5 | 2004/05, 2005/06, 2009/10, 2014/15, 2016/17 |
4 | Arsenal | 3 | 1997/98, 2001/02, 2003/04 |
5 | Liverpool | 2 | 2019/20, 2024/25 |
6 | Blackburn Rovers | 1 | 1994/95 |
7 | Leicester City | 1 | 2015/16 |
Manchester United’s 13 titles all came under Sir Alex Ferguson between 1993 and 2013. Manchester City won an unprecedented four in a row from 2020/21 to 2023/24. Arsenal’s 2003/04 squad went the entire 38-game season unbeaten (26W 12D 0L). And Leicester City’s 2015/16 triumph at pre-season odds of 5000/1 remains arguably the biggest upset in modern sport.
Premier League Relegation Odds for 2025/26
In 2025/26, the picture at the bottom is partly settled and partly wide open. Wolves (20th, 1 win all season, 18 points from safety) and Burnley (19th, 13 points from 26 games) are all but confirmed for the drop.
The real fight is for the third spot: West Ham sit in 18th, three points from safety, with Nottingham Forest, Tottenham, and Leeds all within range. Spurs’ presence in that conversation — winless in seven league matches in 2026, with Thomas Frank sacked in January — is one of the season’s biggest stories.
Team | Pos. | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Best Price | Impl. % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wolves | 20th | 1/500 | 1/500 | Susp. | 1/500 | ~99.8% |
Burnley | 19th | 1/50 | 1/50 | 1/50 | 1/50 | ~98% |
West Ham | 18th | 5/6 | 5/6 | 5/6 | 3/4 | ~55% |
Nottingham Forest | 17th | 9/4 | 5/2 | 12/5 | 9/4 | ~30% |
Tottenham | ~15th | 11/2 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | ~17% |
Leeds United | ~16th | 10/1 | 9/1 | 8/1 | 8/1 | ~11% |
Crystal Palace | ~13th | 16/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | ~7% |
Brighton | ~13th | 20/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | ~6% |
Man City* | 2nd | 33/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 28/1 | ~3% |
Sunderland | ~11th | 100/1 | 100/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | ~2% |
Premier League Top Scorer Odds for 2025/26
The Golden Boot market honours the player who has scored the most league goals during the 38-game season. At the start of the campaign, Erling Haaland opened at around 11/8 — a co-favourite with a handful of others. He now trades at 1/14 to 1/16, reflecting a five-goal cushion at the top of the charts.
With 22 goals from 26 appearances, Haaland is on pace to challenge his own Premier League record of 36 (set in 2022/23). Igor Thiago of Brentford is the only runner with a realistic chance: his 17 goals include 6 penalties, and he needs to outscore Haaland by 6 over the remaining 12 matches.
The January transfer window reshuffled some names — Antoine Semenyo moved from Bournemouth to Man City, Joao Pedro from Brighton to Chelsea — but neither is close enough to threaten the top two.
Player | Club | Goals | Best Price | Impl. Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Erling Haaland | Manchester City | 22 | 1/16 | ~94% |
Igor Thiago | Brentford | 17 | 14/1 | ~7% |
Antoine Semenyo | Manchester City | 13 | 50/1 | ~2% |
Hugo Ekitike | Liverpool | 10 | 80/1 | ~1.5% |
Joao Pedro | Chelsea | 10 | ~80/1 | ~1% |
Jean-Philippe Mateta | Crystal Palace | ~10 | ~100/1 | <1% |
Danny Welbeck | Brighton | ~9 | ~150/1 | <1% |
Nick Woltemade | Newcastle | ~8 | ~150/1 | <1% |
Phil Foden | Manchester City | ~8 | ~150/1 | <1% |
Morgan Rogers | Aston Villa | ~8 | ~200/1 | <1% |
Past Premier League Top Goal Scorers
Mohamed Salah won the 2024/25 Golden Boot with 29 goals — his fourth time taking the award, equalling Thierry Henry’s all-time record. Salah also topped the assists chart and won Player of the Season, a unique treble in Premier League history. Here’s a look at the last decade of top scorers.
Season | Player | Club | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
2024/25 | Mohamed Salah | Liverpool | 29 |
2023/24 | Erling Haaland | Manchester City | 27 |
2022/23 | Erling Haaland | Manchester City | 36 |
2021/22 | Mohamed Salah / Son Heung-min | Liverpool / Tottenham | 23 |
2020/21 | Harry Kane | Tottenham | 23 |
2019/20 | Jamie Vardy | Leicester City | 23 |
2018/19 | Aubameyang / Mané / Salah | Arsenal / Liverpool | 22 |
2017/18 | Mohamed Salah | Liverpool | 32 |
2016/17 | Harry Kane | Tottenham | 29 |
2015/16 | Harry Kane | Tottenham | 25 |
A total of 36 goals scored by Erling Haaland in 2022/23 is the all-time single-season record. Harry Kane won the award three times in this span (2015/16, 2016/17, 2020/21). The Golden Boot was shared in three of these ten seasons, including a rare three-way tie in 2018/19 between Aubameyang, Mané, and Salah, all on 22 goals.
About Premier League Betting
The Premier League is a 20-team competition played across 38 matchdays from mid-August to late May. Each club faces every other club twice — once at home, once away — for a total of 380 matches per season. Teams earn 3 points for a win, 1 for a draw, and 0 for a defeat. The team with the most points at the end is the champion, with goal difference as the first tiebreaker.
At the top, the stakes go beyond the domestic trophy. The top four qualify for the Champions League, 5th place typically enters the Europa League, and the Carabao Cup winners earn a Conference League spot. In 2025/26, a record nine Premier League clubs are in European competition. This adds to fixture crowding and drives more rotation, which sharp bettors watch closely.
At the bottom, the three lowest-placed teams are relegated to the EFL Championship. They’re replaced by the Championship’s top two finishers plus the winner of the play-offs. In 2025/26, the promoted trio is Leeds United, Burnley, and Sunderland.
What makes the Premier League especially interesting for betting:
Competitiveness. Seven different clubs have won the title since 1992. Leicester City did it at 5000/1 in 2016. In 2024/25, there were a joint-record 63 comeback victories — 16.6% of all matches. Even bottom-table sides receive over £100 million in annual TV revenue, which keeps squads competitive and results less predictable than in leagues like the Bundesliga or Ligue 1.
Volume and scheduling. 380 matches spread across 10 months, with games on Friday evenings, Saturday (12:30 and 15:00 kick-offs), Sunday (multiple slots), Monday nights, and midweek rounds. From 2025/26, 267 of 380 matches are broadcast live in the UK across Sky Sports, TNT Sports, and Amazon Prime. The congested December–January holiday period features matches every 2–3 days, creating opportunities for squad rotation and fatigue-related markets.
Goals. The 2023/24 season set an all-time Premier League record at 1,246 goals (3.28 per match). The 2024/25 season was the second-highest ever at around 2.93 per match. For the Over/Under 2.5 goals market, recent seasons consistently favour “over.” In the current 2025/26 campaign, team goal-involvement varies from 3.38 per game (Bournemouth) to 2.19 (Sunderland) — a spread that rewards match-specific analysis.
Market depth. No football league in the world generates more betting markets per match. On a typical Premier League fixture, UK bookmakers offer 200+ individual outcomes: 1X2, Asian handicap, over/under goals (0.5 through 6.5 lines), Both Teams to Score, correct score, Draw No Bet, half-time/full-time, first/last/anytime goalscorer, player shots, tackles, corners, cards, and more. Outright markets include title winner, top-4 finish, relegation, Golden Boot, and “winner without” specials. In-Play betting is available on all televised matches with continuously adjusting odds.
Discipline and cards. The Premier League averages around 3.5 yellow cards per match. In 2024/25, 98 cards were shown — one of the highest totals in the league’s history — driven partly by the introduction of semi-automated offside technology and stricter enforcement of tactical fouls. Booking and card markets carry value for those tracking referee tendencies and team discipline records.
