Pereira vs. Rountree: Prediction and Betting Odds

UFC Light Heavyweight Champion Alex Pereira will defend his title against Khalil Rountree on October 5 at UFC 307, taking place at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, USA.

This article covers the betting odds, predictions, and an exclusive tip for the Pereira vs. Rountree fight.

Who will win – Pereira or Rountree?

Pereira to win

1/5

Rountree to win

16/5

Pereira vs. Rountree Odds

Bookmakers are confident in the champion's victory, who has the advantage over the challenger in both technique and size. Alex is in excellent shape, and if he remembers to focus on defense, he should win this fight. You can bet on Pereira’s victory with odds of 1/5

Pereira vs. Rountree Odds to win

Khalil has emerged as an unexpected title contender, having only fought top-15 opponents twice. Analysts doubt whether the American is prepared for a fight against the champion, especially since this will be his first five-round bout. The odds for a Rountree victory are 13/4

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Statistics and Physical Data

Pereira has a 3 inches advantage over Rountree in both height and reach.

Alex Pereira

• Current UFC Light Heavyweight Champion. Holds a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu (BJJ) and kickboxing. Former UFC Middleweight Champion. Former Glory Champion in both Middleweight and Light Heavyweight divisions.

• Record: 13 fights, 11 wins, 2 losses.

Pereira to win odds

Bonus £30

Bet

1/4

Pereira is ready to take on a fight at any moment, not out of overconfidence, but due to a solid understanding of his abilities. His successful rematch with Prochazka proved that Alex is still evolving, and by the time he faces Rountree, he’ll be in even better shape.

The Brazilian is familiar with the Muay Thai techniques his opponent uses and knows how to counter his aggressive tactics

What to Expect from Pereira in the Fight Against Rountree

From long range, Pereira will target Rountree with a barrage of front kicks and low kicks. When Khalil moves forward, the Brazilian will retreat and respond with a knockout high kick or cross. He will use consistent strikes to different levels to distract the challenger. At mid-range, Alex will utilize a sharp jab and a powerful hook.

The champion will likely catch Khalil in a clinch and unleash heavy knees, and by the fence, he might try to trip him down.

Pereira will work from a safe distance, breaking down the challenger with middle kicks. But when Rountree starts to tire, Alex will go on the offensive with a vicious hook or uppercut.

Pereira's Chances of Victory

Pereira has a higher chance of winning due to his superior Muay Thai technique and tactical approach.

However, the Brazilian is at risk of getting caught by a knockout punch due to gaps in his defense, though hitting his head won't be easy. He is unlikely to brawl unnecessarily with Khalil and will aim to take him out from a distance.

Pereira's strikes are faster, and with his reach advantage, he has a good chance of outscoring Rountree. Additionally, he possesses more knockout power than the American.

Pereira's Last 5 Fights

Khalil Rountree

• Ranked eighth in the UFC light heavyweight division and third in the number of knockouts in this weight class. A Muay Thai practitioner.

• 19 fights, 13 wins, 5 losses, 1 no contest.

Rountree to win odds

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Bet

3/1

If you missed Rountree's "grand" journey to the UFC top 10, it began back in 2021 with a win over Modestas Bukauskas. This was Khalil's second fight after a brief hiatus during which he worked on his mindset and became noticeably more aggressive.

While the MMA world largely sees the American as an easy opponent, he does have something to offer against the champion.

What to Expect from Rountree in the Fight with Pereira?

Khalil will adopt a lower stance and throw a series of jabs. He might also launch a sharp lead hook and add a powerful mid-kick. Rountree will use numerous low and side kicks targeting the knees.

After a slip, Khalil will deliver a powerful overhand or suddenly close the distance with a series of three hooks. If he lands a heavy punch, he'll follow up with a body hook and a crushing uppercut. Rountree knows it's unlikely he'll knock Pereira out with a single explosive attack, so he'll initially focus on strikes to the legs and body.

Rountree will counter the Brazilian's advance with a front kick and move to the side. He will always be ready with a high guard, ducks, and a strong defense against low kicks.

Rountree's Chances of Victory

Rountree has a chance for an early victory due to his aggressive style, which focuses on quick close-ins and powerful strikes. If he can land a combination of two or three heavy punches, he could win by knockout. However, the problem is that his fighting style is quite predictable, which a seasoned striker could easily counter.

To increase his chances for a successful finish, Rountree needs to be more agile and strategic. Winning by decision will be challenging due to his cardio, which tends to falter by the third round.

Rountree's Last 5 Fights

Pereira vs. Rountree: Exclusive Prediction 

Rountree will focus on using his jab and explosive combinations effectively over the first three rounds. Meanwhile, the champion, Pereira, will unleash powerful kicks and straight punches.

The first half of the fight is expected to be close, with the highest likelihood of a knockout. Therefore, I favor the bet on the total being under 3.5 rounds.

In the later rounds, Pereira's experience in championship fights will likely give him the edge. Given Pereira's technical skill and size advantage, Rountree might struggle to close the distance. Hence, Pereira is my pick for this fight.

My prediction is Victory for Alex Pereira and total under 3.5 rounds.

Alex Pereira to win

Bonus £30

Bet

1/4

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