Real Madrid vs Atalanta: Prediction and Betting Odds

Current Champions League title holder Real Madrid can lift the UEFA Super Cup trophy on sixth occasion. If this happens the Spanish side will overcome Barcelona and Milan. Atalanta will be Real's opponents as the Italian side won the last UEFA Europa League edition.

The game is scheduled to start on Wednesday, August 14 at the Narodowy Stadium in Warsaw. The match kicks off at 20:00 BST. Below, you will find betting odds and options for the game.

Who will win: Real or Atalanta?

Real

9/20

Draw

7/2

Atalanta

9/2

Real vs Atalanta Betting Odds

Betting sites considered Atalanta an outsider almost all the way through their last Europa League successful campaign. For example, the odds on the Italian side to win were around 8/1 prior to their first game against Liverpool. The odds are high this time too as Atalanta is underrated again.

Real Madrid vs Atalanta: betting odds

Real Madrid Pre-match Analysis

Real should terrify their opponents with the squad the Spanish side has. Mbappé and Endrick have just joined Real Madrid. The odds on Real Madrid to win the UEFA Super Cup game are obviously low — 11/20

Real had three friendly games before the start of the season, winning only one of them. It doesn’t mean anything as the side was training without some of their key players in the power saving mode. On Wednesday, we’re likely to see the Real Madrid we’re used to.

Real Madrid’s pre-season games

Borussia Dortmund failed to score in the Champions League final, although the German side had 1.77 xG. Atalanta managed to score against Liverpool and Bayer, which had a strong defensive line each. Real are likely to score. However, they can concede a goal, too. This is why Both teams to score seems to be an interesting option at the odds of 3/4

Atalanta Pre-match Analysis

You can bet on Atalanta to win in regular time at 24/5 Fair enough as Real are better than their opponents in each and every line. Transfermarkt claims that the Spanish side’s squad is almost 3 times more expensive than what Atalanta have: 1.36 billion euro versus 433.60 million euro.

Atalanta have their strong sides, though. They move fast throughout the game. Ancelotti noted that their opponents are uniquely fast. Atalanta can score a goal thanks to the intensive pressing and fast counter attacks. You can bet on the Italian side to score at 3/5

Atalanta’s pre-season games

Atalanta have become weaker compared to the end of the last season. Their key forward Scamacca was injured in a friendly game. Their defender Scalvini is only recovering from an injury. Teun Koopmeiners, who scored 12 goals in the last Serie A season will miss this game as he wants to join Juventus. Atalanta can rely on Lookman in their offensive actions. He scored a hat-trick in the Europa League final versus Bayer. You can bet on Lookman to score anytime at 7/2

Real Madrid — Atalanta Betting Odds

Real were one of the most disciplined sides of the last La Liga season, with only 67 yellow cards. Only Celta Vigo and Valencia players were booked even more rarely. Real played carefully in the Champions League too, with 22 yellow cards (1.69 per game on average).

Atalanta had a bit more yellow cards in the Europa League, 28 (2.15 per game). They will do their best to stop a powerful attacking line of Real. They will commit some fouls. This is why they’re likely to have more yellow cards than their opponent.

Yellow cards: Atalanta to win

Bonus £50

Bet

3/10

Real dominates, playing attacking football. They take many corner kicks. For example, 82 (6.31 per match) corner kicks were taken by Real Madrid in the 2023/24 Champions League season. Atalanta perform pretty well in this case, too. Although, their statistics are worse than what Real have. Atalanta finished fourth in the last Serie A season in terms of corner kicks taken (210), with 63 corner kicks taken in the Europa League (4.85 per game).

Real tend to possess the ball. They will be more active in attack. They’re likely to take a lot more corner kicks in this game.

Corners: Real Madrid (−1,5)

Bonus £30

Bet

13/20

A winner has been known only after penalty shootout in 3 out of the last 5 UEFA Super Cup editions. Last year Manchester City and Sevilla were tied (1:1), with the English side winning on penalties (5:4). No extra time will be played this year, so we’re pretty likely to see the penalty shootout again. You can bet on a draw in regular time at 7/2

There’s an intrigue in this game. Will Kylian Mbappé debut in Real or not? The star has joined Real Madrid only a few days ago. He didn’t play the friendly games. However, betting sites believe that he can score in his first game for the Spanish side. You can bet on Mbappé to score anytime at 3/4

Real have a powerful attacking squad, so they will have attempts on goal. Last Champions League season saw them having 212 attempts in 13 games. Atalanta had some worse results, with 170 attempts. Both sides had at least 5 attempts on target per game on average. Real will have a lot of attempts. Atalanta are unlikely to prefer to play carefully.

Match shots on target: Over 9

Bonus £30

Bet

1/2

Real Madrid vs Atalanta Prediction

Real Madrid deserve to lift their sixth UEFA Super Cup trophy. They have a good squad with a huge experience in the European competitions. All key players are ready to play. There will be a problem to find a place for all the stars as Mbappé and Endrick have joined the club. Real Madrid lost Toni Kroos as he ended his career after the European Championship. Valverde is likely to play his role now.

Atalanta have signed some players, too. These are De Ketelaere, Mateo Retegui, Ben Godfrey and Ibrahim Sulemana. Nicolò Zaniolo has joined the club on loan from Galatasaray. It’s not enough to play against such a strong opponent as Real Madrid. Koopmeiners, Scamacca and Scalvini will miss the game. This will affect the Italian side.

The teams have only had one head-to-head game. They played in the Round of 16 of the UEFA Champions League in 2021. Real won both legs, 3:1 home and 1:0 away. Real are likely to win the UEFA Super Cup, too. They can do it with a confident lead. Our prediction is:

Real Madrid (−1)

Bonus £30

Bet

17/20

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