Women's Triumph at the Grammys: Favorites and Betting Odds for the 2025 Awards

Who Will Win the “Big Four”?

The Grammy Awards, the pinnacle of the music industry, will take place on February 2, 2025, at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. Will Taylor Swift set a new record? And how have the recent scandals affected Beyoncé's chances? We'll delve into the top favorites and, of course, highlight the most intriguing betting options.

Who will win Album of the year Award?

Grammy 2025 Betting Odds

The Grammy Awards are presented by the members of the National Academy of Recording Arts and Sciences. In recent years, all secret committees were abolished, making the voting process more transparent. However, this hasn’t stopped the public and the industry from criticizing the choices of the "Academy." Superstars like The Weeknd have boycotted the awards. Yet, much like the Oscars, despite the torrent of criticism, the Grammys remain the most prestigious music award on the planet. Within the Grammys, there are the most elite nominations known as the "Big Four."

Album of the Year

The Grammys reflect a global trend of increasing recognition for women. This year, all three top favorites are representatives of the so-called "weaker sex."

Top 3 favourites

Artist

Album

Copies sold in 1st week

Odds to Win

Billie Eilish

Hit Me Hard and Soft

1 mln

13/20

Taylor Swift 

The Tortured Poets Department

2,5 mln

2/1

Beyonce

Cowboy Carter

1,1 mln

10/1

Somewhat surprisingly, Billie Eilish has emerged as the bookmakers' top favorite. Critics have praised her album Hit Me Hard and Soft for its experimental approach and emotional depth. It debuted in the top five of the Billboard 200, yet purely by numbers, her competitors have the edge.

Rumors of Billie’s potential coming out may have boosted her odds, as the Grammys are known for championing inclusivity. Not to mention, Eilish has always felt at home at the awards. She won her first Album of the Year in 2020 at just 18, making her the youngest artist ever to claim that title.

However, Taylor Swift seems like the stronger candidate. She leads in album sales, with her latest release surpassing 5 million copies by the end of last year. According to Variety and Rolling Stone, sales often play a decisive role in voting. And if any artist is perfectly tailored for the Grammys, it’s Taylor. She holds the record for wins in this category, with a staggering 14 awards and four Album of the Year titles.

Then there's Beyoncé, the ultimate record-breaker:

  • Most nominations ever (99)

  • Most awards won (32)

  • Leader in 2024 nominations (11)

Yet, she has never won the coveted Album of the Year and has openly criticized the Academy for it, alongside her husband Jay-Z. But in the wake of the recent P. Diddy scandal involving sex parties, both would do well to stay quiet. It’s a standard practice for major U.S. awards to sideline potentially "canceled" artists.

While the Grammys are often praised—and criticized—for their unpredictability, this primarily applies to “secondary” categories. In the Big Four, bookmaker predictions hold true 60–70% of the time. This leaves an outside shot for Charli XCX's Brat, with 6/1 , and Sabrina Carpenter's Short n' Sweet, with 8/1 But these are lottery-level bets.

Record of the Year

Over the past five years, the Academy has relied not only on commercial success but also on critical acclaim. In this regard, the favorites are on roughly equal footing. However, four out of the last five winners have been women, and this trend diminishes Kendrick Lamar's chances.

Top 5 Contenders

Artist

Track

Odds to Win

Sabrina Carpenter

Espresso

11/20

Kendrick Lamar

Not Like Us

7/2

Billie Eilish

BIRDS OF A FEATHER

4/1

Taylor Swift feat. Post Malone

Fortnight

10/1

The Beatles

Now And Then

12/1

Now And Then is the first Grammy-nominated track created with the help of artificial intelligence. The Grammys have always encouraged technical innovations, and with the Record of the Year award recognizing not just the performing artist but also the producer, mix engineer, and mastering engineer, it aligns well with this ethos. Still, with Sabrina Carpenter's odds being so low, we wouldn't take the risk.

Song of the Year

The motivation of Grammy voters over the past five years has rested on three pillars:

  • Lyrical content — reflecting social, cultural, or emotional themes.

  • Musical complexity and originality.

  • Relevance — the ability to be “the voice of the times.”

Five years ago, a rap track won this category for the first time. Childish Gambino blazed the trail, paving the way for artists like Kendrick Lamar to be serious contenders. That said, we can never count out Billie Eilish or Beyoncé — especially this year.

Top 5 Contenders

Artist

Song

Odds to Win

Billie Eilish

BIRDS OF A FEATHER

1/2

Kendrick Lamar

Not Like Us

3/1

Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars

Die with a Smile

5/1

Chappel Roan

Good Luck, Babe

8/1

Sabrina Carpenter 

Please, Please. Please

8/1

Song of the Year focuses solely on songwriting, recognizing the creative minds behind the lyrics and melody. Production and performance are not factored into this category. However, the charisma of the performer often becomes a defining element. Forgive the subjectivity, but Kendrick Lamar seems to exude more gravitas in this regard.

Best New Artist

The last seven winners in the Best New Artist category — Alessia Cara, Dua Lipa, Billie Eilish, Megan Thee Stallion, Olivia Rodrigo, Samara Joy, and Victoria Monét — have all been solo female artists. This ties the record first set between 1997 and 2003. With Roan and Carpenter widely regarded as this year’s leading contenders in the category, February is poised to bring a new record.

Top 5 Contenders

Artist

Odds to Win

Chappel Roan

2/5

Sabrina Carpenter 

2/1

Raye

8/1

Shaboozey

12/1

Benson Boone

20/1


Roan won Best New Artist at the MTV VMAs on September 11 and is often hailed as a revolutionary force in music. Among all the nominees, only Sabrina Carpenter was mentioned in the media more frequently than Roan over the past year.