2024 Hungarian Grand Prix: odds and predictions on the F1 race

The Hungarian Grand Prix is scheduled to take place on July 19-21 at the Hungaroring circuit, located in the town of Modyorod, near Budapest. This will be the 13th race in the current season and next to the last race before the classic summer break. 

What odds are betting sites offering for the event in Hungary? The best odds for the race weekend are in our review. 

Do not expect any surprises: the main favourite of bookmakers is Max Verstappen. 

Who will win 2024 Hungarian GP?

Max Verstappen odds to win

83/100

Norris odds to win

7/2

2024 Hungarian Grand Prix Odds

The big question for the upcoming Grand Prix is how the long-awaited upgrades will affect the speed of the top teams. Even though Lando constantly gets on the podium behind Max, making their relationship tense, bookmakers don't think he'll have an advantage on the twisty Hungaroring. So, Verstappen is the favourite again. 

At the British Grand Prix (July 7th) Max finished second and Lando came in third.

F1 Drivers’ Championship Odds

Of course, Lando’s most optimistic fans still believe that after a break in the second half of the season, he will get closer to Max and make him nervous, if he doesn’t take the lead in points.

In reality, everyone knows that without rainy weather, on a dry track, with a great qualification only technical problems with the Red Bull car can help to overtake Verstappen.

Verstappen’s win in the 2024 season

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Bet

7/100

Even if we don’t see an exciting fight for points by the end of the season, we will definitely see a new battle between Lando and Max. The crash in Spielberg reminded fans of the return of the eccentric pre-championship Verstappen. On the other hand, Norris is trying to act like early Senna, ready to dive into sharp corners until he makes contact with his opponent's car.

So it doesn't matter if these two have really become friends again or if it's just for the media. There's no doubt that during the season they'll give us many more controversial and dangerous moments.

Personal standings for the 2024 season and odds to win

Hungarian Grand Prix History

The first Hungarian Grand Prix took place on July 21 in 1936, in the center of Budapest on a 3.1-mile circuit. Only 4 teams participated - Mercedes, Auto Union, Maserati, and Alfa Romeo. The first winner of the Hungarian race was Italian driver Tazio Nuvolari in Alfa Romeo.

Michael Schumacher is second, and Ayrton Senna is third.

Max Verstappen has won the last 2 years at the Hungaroring.

Among teams, McLaren still holds the absolute record with 11 wins. Williams and Ferrari share second place with 7 wins each.

Can Lewis repeat his Silverstone success?

Looking beyond the championship leaders, we can't forget Hamilton's amazing success at his home race in Silverstone. Considering his improving positions in recent races, it's clear this isn't just a coincidence, but updates of the car, which is finally showing competitive pace and feeling more confident on the straights.

Toto Wolff also noted the speed of the W15, and is confident that the Hungarian updates will help the car progress even further. However, the Mercedes team head driver cautiously acknowledges that the Hungaroring, with its tight and twisty sections, is far from the straights of Silverstone.

While there are a couple of fast corners in Hungary, if Lewis and George only make up time there, they're unlikely to keep up with Max's pace for the whole distance without destroying their best set of tires. So the bookmakers’ lack of confidence about repeating the Silverstone success is clear. Even though they've slightly lowered the odds for Lewis's victory, they're still quite high.

Hamilton's victory

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Bet

8/1

Moreover,  when Russell left after some technical problems, it was a bad sign for the team, clearly showing that even the most successful upgrades can't protect the precious power unit.

2024 F1 Constructors’ Championship odds to win

The Constructors' Championship situation is even more interesting. Bookmakers are finding it hard to believe that Ferrari can stay at the second position, given McLaren's crazy growth. Additionally, even Red Bull's cup is now under threat due to Checo's obvious problems, who hasn't been getting high scores for the team since the Italian stage.

Hungarian GP Predictions

Both Mercedes cars can now compete with McLaren for a top-three. The weather forecast for Hungary shows clear skies and 35-degree heat. So, Mercedes will likely use an aggressive strategy, setting up their cars for more downforce, even if it means less speed on the straights.

Hungaroring is a very hard track for overtaking. The first few laps will be the most important, as drivers need to build a good gap from the car behind.

While analysts think a Mercedes win is unlikely, they've cut the odds for a podium finish by three times.

Hamilton to finish in top 3

11/10

Russell to finish in top 3

11/10

Piastri's chances are rated lower than his teammate's:

Norris to finish in top 3

13/20

Piastri to finish in top 3

3/2

For the bet on the race winner, it's hard to argue with the bookmakers. Max's car had issues in changing rain conditions, but forecasts predict hot weather with hot tarmac - perfect for Red Bull.

The McLaren is now the fastest car in the paddock, just slightly ahead of Red Bull. Red Bull bosses have even complained to the FIA about Lando and Oscar's too-flexible front wings and "suspicious" brake system holes.

However, Max, who has won here twice in the last two years, is clearly on another level of driving. His car hasn't let him down yet, and with new updates, it might even close the small speed gap to competitors.

Verstappen odds to win

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Bet

83/100

Hungarian Grand Prix Schedule