Abu Dhabi Grand Prix 2024: Predictions and Betting Tips for the Formula 1 Race

The final round of the 2024 Formula 1 season takes place from December 6 to 8 in Abu Dhabi at the Yas Marina Circuit. This will be the 24th race of the current season.

What odds have the bookmakers prepared for the stage in Abu Dhabi? Find the best odds for the racing weekend in our review.

Although the suspense in the title race was lost after Max Verstappen's early victory, there's still a compelling reason to watch the season's final race. Only eight points separate Lando Norris and Charles Leclerc, and both will be prepared to go all-in for every point.

Who will win?

2024 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Winner Odds

As expected, after his triumph in Qatar, Max remains the bookmakers’ favourite. It’s noteworthy that to secure victory and maintain his lead during that race, he didn't need to push his slightly worn car to its limits.

Bookmakers

Norris odds to win

Verstappen odds to win

Leclerc odds to win

Piastri odds to win

Hamilton odds to win

Betfred

2/1

2/1

5/1

10/1

10/1

Unibet

9/4

2/1

9/2

8/1

10/1

Bluefox Sports

9/4

9/4

5/1

9/1

10/1

JeffBet 

9/4

9/4

5/1

9/1

10/1

Recall, at the recent Grand Prix, Max Verstappen took first place, Charles Leclerc was second, and Oscar Piastri claimed third. Disappointingly for his fans, Lando Norris only managed to finish in tenth position.

Formula 1 Drivers' Championship Title Betting Odds

The only achievement left for Max this season is trying to widen the gap to a hundred points with the nearest contender. For this, Lando would need an even poorer weekend than in Qatar, and Verstappen would have to take first place again.

Elsewhere on the grid, we won’t see much serious positional battling. Lewis Hamilton is already out of reach of his competitors, and it seems unlikely Carlos Sainz can challenge Oscar Piastri.

Intrigue remains only for fans of the drivers outside the top ten, where sometimes just two points separate competitors.

Personal standings for the 2024 season and odds to win

Driver

Points

Max Verstappen

429

Lando Norris

349

Charles Leclerc

341

Oscar Piastri

291

Carlos Sainz

272

McLaren vs Ferrari – the main intrigue of the year

The final stage is crucial not only for Norris and Leclerc but also for their teams. Considering their similar performances throughout the season, both could finish in the top six, where just a couple of points could decide the fate of second place.

However, the Constructors' Championship battle is much tighter. Ferrari trails McLaren by 21 points, so just placing in the top five won’t suffice. Sainz and Leclerc will need to compete for podiums, as McLaren also stands to gain significant points and widen the gap further from their pursuers.

If the teams tie on points, the Constructors' Championship will be determined by the number of wins over the season. Currently, McLaren and Ferrari each have five wins. But this scenario for determining the tournament's outcome seems improbable. It's likely McLaren will maintain their lead and deliver the coveted trophy to their team mechanics.

2024 F1 Constructors’ Championship odds to win

Team

Points

Odds

McLaren

640

1/10

Ferrari

619

11/2

Red Bull

581

-

Mercedes

446

-

Aston Martin

92

-

Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Prediction

Motivated by a desire to bounce back from his Qatar disappointment, Norris isn’t looking for excuses and candidly admits their car has reached a whole new level, implying the season’s outcome now rests solely on the driver's skill.

In Qatar, the car was incredibly fast, so I am eagerly looking forward to assessing its speed this weekend. I’m focused on the race, ready to give it my all, and aim to bring the Constructors' Championship home. This season is unforgettable for me, having won my first Grand Prix in Miami, and I came close to victory in the personal standings. The team has done an incredible job providing us with a great car, and I want to thank everyone for that. Abu Dhabi is a great place to end the season. Just need to finish the job.

Leclerc, on the other hand, doesn’t seem as driven and openly admits that second place isn’t crucial for him. However, he believes Yas Marina suits their car better than the Qatar track did.

We were very fortunate; if Lando hadn’t had the issues he did, we would be far behind. If not for the safety car, our gap would be much larger. Our pace wasn’t fast enough. The Abu Dhabi track should suit us better. I hope so.

Nonetheless, McLaren still enjoys a significant advantage on the straights, and it's unclear how Charles plans to counter this straight-line speed, especially between turns 5 to 6 or between turns 8 to 9. Thus, Lando's chances for a podium finish remain high as ever.

Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Schedule and Weather Forecast

As usual, meteorologists predict hot weather for the final stage. From Friday to Sunday, daytime temperatures will reach 27-29°C, cooling to 22-24°C in the evening.

When to watch

Event

September 6, 9.30am on Sky Sports F1

Practice One

September 6, 1.00pm on Sky Sports F1

Practice Two

September 7, 10.30am on Sky Sports F1

Practice Three

September 7, 2.00pm on Sky Sports F1

Qualifying

September 8, 1.00pm on Sky Sports F1

The ABU DHABI GRAND PRIX