Bahrain Grand Prix 2025: Predictions and Betting Tips for Formula 1 Race
The 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix is scheduled to take place from 11 to 13 April at the Bahrain International Circuit in Sakhir. This will be the fourth round of the current Formula 1 season.
What odds have the bookmakers prepared for the stage in Bahrain? Find the best odds for the racing weekend in our review.
The Japanese Grand Prix proved disappointing for the McLaren team. Max Verstappen not only beat them to pole position but also held his lead from start to finish, successfully resisting all overtaking attempts despite driving a notably slower car. However, bookmakers expect Verstappen to face a tougher challenge in Bahrain.
2025 Bahrain Grand Prix Winner Odds
Although Lando Norris couldn’t overtake Verstappen’s relatively slow and underpowered car, analysts suggest that Red Bull Racing will find it difficult to match the pace of their main rivals in Bahrain.
At the same time, Oscar Piastri continues to prove that he's far more than a supporting act. He is fully capable of competing with Lando Norris on equal terms. As for the Mercedes team, their current prospects of contending for victory look slim.
Formula 1 Drivers' Championship Title Betting Odds
Three races into the season, the Drivers' Championship standings remain tightly contested. Max Verstappen trails Lando Norris by just a single point. Even George Russell and Andrea Antonelli, currently sitting fourth and fifth, remain within striking distance of the leaders.
Nonetheless, McLaren Team Principal Andrea Stella sees the struggles in Japan as a key motivator for both the engineering staff and drivers to push for maximum performance throughout the campaign.
Meanwhile, Red Bull Racing remain cautious about their chances in the heat of Bahrain. Tyre degradation and a noticeable lack of pace are expected to be key disadvantages that Lando Norris could capitalise on. Here's what Verstappen had to say ahead of the event:
Personal standings for the 2025 season and odds to win
Is team strategy undermining McLaren?
While Red Bull Racing are struggling to optimise Verstappen’s car performance without excessive tyre wear, internal friction appears to be surfacing at McLaren F1 Team over race strategy.
Many will remember the team radio messages from Oscar Piastri during the Japanese Grand Prix, in which he indicated that he had more pace and requested that Lando Norris let him through to challenge Verstappen.
However, team management declined the request and effectively instructed Piastri to stay behind his slower teammate.
This has led several analysts to speculate that if the two McLaren F1 Team drivers remain closely matched in terms of pace, we could soon witness more serious flashpoints – potentially even on-track collisions reminiscent of the rivalry between Nico Rosberg and Lewis Hamilton in the past.
In any case, the team must clarify such situations and make it known to Oscar Piastri that even the slightest points advantage for Lando Norris will shift the team’s full backing to him as the lead driver.
2025 F1 Constructors’ Championship odds to win
Bahrain Grand Prix History
The Bahrain Grand Prix made its debut during the 2004 Formula 1 season. The inaugural winner was Michael Schumacher driving for Scuderia Ferrari.
The record for most wins in Sakhir belongs to Lewis Hamilton, with five victories (2014, 2015, 2019, 2020, 2021). Sebastian Vettel follows with four wins (2012, 2013, 2017, 2018), and Fernando Alonso rounds out the top three with three wins (2005, 2006, 2010).
Among constructors, Scuderia Ferrari lead the way with seven wins (2004, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2017, 2018, 2022).
The Bahrain Grand Prix has been cancelled only once, in 2011, due to civil unrest. After several failed attempts to reschedule, the FIA removed the race from the calendar for that year.
Bahrain Grand Prix Prediction
Despite Max Verstappen’s concerns about potential challenges in Sakhir, his experience and cornering ability may still allow him to mount a serious challenge to McLaren F1 Team. He remains a strong contender for a podium finish and possibly even the win.
However, the high temperatures in Bahrain are likely to test drivers’ endurance – particularly for veterans who may struggle to maintain peak performance under such demanding conditions, as well as for rookies still learning tyre management while carrying heavy fuel loads in the opening laps.
Meanwhile, with Scuderia Ferrari introducing numerous upgrades for Sakhir, there is growing belief that they could challenge for a place on the podium. Still, the gap to McLaren F1 Team remains considerable, and both Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri are expected to be the leading contenders throughout the race.
Bahrain Grand Prix Schedule and Weather Forecast
All three days of the race weekend are predicted to be hot and dry. From Friday to Sunday, air temperatures are expected to reach 33–35°C, with clear skies, a moderate northerly breeze, and no rainfall. As in previous years, wet tyres are not expected to be used in Bahrain.
When to watch | Event |
April 11, 12.30pm on Sky Sports F1 | Practice One |
April 11, 4.00pm on Sky Sports F1 | Practice Two |
April 12, 1.30pm on Sky Sports F1 | Practice Three |
April 12, 5.00pm on Sky Sports F1 | Qualifying |
April 13, 4.00pm on Sky Sports F1 | The Bahrain Grand Prix |
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