Farewell, Guardiola’s Old Machine: Man City Transfers Odds

Kevin De Bruyne Bids Farewell to the Etihad Stadium.

Manchester City fans are already celebrating the fact that their team is back in the Premier League’s top four. However, such a situation won't satisfy the club’s ambitious and wealthy ownership for long. This season, they have accepted their elimination from the Champions League, hoping to secure qualification for the next year instead.

Changes are expected at the club, primarily in the transfer market. Which veterans will leave Manchester City, and who will join their ranks? And will Guardiola himself stay? We’ll cover it all in our piece, along with the best betting odds.

The Future of the Current Manchester City

One crucial factor influencing these odds is whether City will remain in the Premier League at all. Within a month, we’ll find out whether the court will satisfy the League’s claims against City regarding Financial Fair Play violations and falsified salary reports. Amid these scandals and a crisis season, the odds of their relegation have dropped more than tenfold.

In the worst-case scenario, the first to abandon the sinking ship—contrary to the famous saying—will be the captain, or rather, the coach. Guardiola is already among the top seven candidates most likely to be sacked, according to bookmakers.

Manchester City Transfers Odds

Over the past five years, City has consistently ranked among the top five biggest spenders in the Premier League:

  • 2020: €163.3M

  • 2021: €127.5M

  • 2022: €139.5M

  • 2023: €110M

The only exception was last year when they spent just €25M—on par with the league’s poorest clubs. And what did that lead to? A winter panic, where they outspent all of Europe with €218M in transfers. Traditionally, City spend even more in the summer, so we can expect big signings. Here are the top players currently linked with a move to City.

Player

Odds to move to City

Alexander Isak

16/1

Paul Pogba

33/1

Mohamed Salah 

66/1

Salah still hasn’t extended his contract with Liverpool. He’s in incredible form and might not be in a rush to move to Saudi Arabia—perhaps even considering a switch to a direct rival out of spite. After all, Raheem Sterling paved the way back in 2015 for €45 million.

Guardiola has already openly admitted that the current squad has little in common with the unstoppable machine they used to be.

Our squad is no longer the same as when we started working together nine years ago.

Kyle Walker has already left the club. Next in line are Jack Grealish, who has lost his starting spot, John Stones, and of course—Kevin De Bruyne. Sky Sports reported the inside scoop, and then De Bruyne himself confirmed that he wants to move to MLS, even naming a specific team: San Diego FC.

Kevin De Bruyne Next Club (01.09.25)

Side

Odds

Any MLS team

9/10

Manchester City

7/4

Any Saudi Pro League club

7/2

Bookmakers generally have a good understanding of potential transfers. While they may not always predict the exact club, they correctly identify the geographical direction 7 out of 10 times. When a betting company suggests that De Bruyne is heading to the USA, it’s wise to pay attention.