Onana — Manchester United’s Last Shot at a Trophy: EPL Golden Glove Odds 2024-25 Winner
Who will keep more clean sheets in the Premier League.
With a fifth of the Premier League season behind us, the time is ripe for some early yet well-founded assessments. By the 10th to 12th matchweek, the top five in the standings tend to solidify — a pattern proven over the last 20 years. Once a team is established in the upper quarter, there's a 65-75% likelihood it will finish in this range. But today, we’re focused on individual accolades. Who will claim the title of the season's best goalkeeper? What are Raya's chances for a double win? And why is Onana the last glimmer of hope for the Red Devils? Let’s break it down — complete with the best betting angles.
Who will Win the Premier League 2024-25 Golden Glove
The Golden Glove is awarded to the goalkeeper with the most clean sheets in a Premier League season. To qualify, only full 90-minute matches are counted. The inaugural winner of the award, handed out at the end of the 2004-05 season, was the legendary Petr Čech, who set a remarkable record of 24 clean sheets. Čech remains one of only two goalkeepers to hold the most Golden Glove titles.
However, a repeat of Čech’s feat seems unlikely given the rise in scoring rates over the years. Back then, the average goals per game stood at 2.57, while last season it climbed to 3.28.
2024/25 EPL Golden Glove betting odds
Player |
Club |
Odds to Win |
David Raya |
Arsenal |
|
Ederson |
Man City |
|
Alisson |
Liverpool |
|
Andre Onana |
Man United |
|
Emiliano Martinez |
Aston Villa |
Chances for Andre Onana to Win the Trophy
In Manchester United’s challenging season, Andre Onana has been a rare bright spot, keeping clean sheets in 44% of his matches and making crucial saves for the Red Devils.
Against Crystal Palace in September, Onana leaped low to his left to deny Eddie Nketiah’s long-range strike and then instantly sprang up to deflect Ismaila Sarr’s shot from close range, earning the Save of the Month award. Peter Schmeichel, United’s goalkeeping legend, praised his quick reflexes and recovery ability:
With an expected goals-against (XGA) of 17.52, United have only conceded 11 goals, highlighting Onana’s impact, especially given minimal support from his teammates. In a recent 1-2 loss to West Ham, Garnacho lost possession 16 times, while Onana had more touches than forward Rasmus Hojlund (40 vs. 26). Onana’s efforts in goal have even included a penalty save, but this workload can’t be sustained indefinitely.
United’s mid-season coaching change spells challenges ahead, making European qualification seem out of reach, let alone the Golden Glove for Onana. No team finishing outside the top three has ever produced a Golden Glove winner.
Other Contenders to Get the Golden Glove
David Raya
Arsenal's goalkeeper, David Raya, clinched the Golden Glove last season with 16 clean sheets, the lowest total needed to secure the award since the 2019-20 season. This year, Raya currently ranks second with three clean sheets, trailing only André Onana. Despite the competition, bookmakers continue to back the Spaniard as the leading favorite, with odds reflecting a 33.3% chance of him winning the award again.
The standout feature of Arsenal’s defense last season was its impressive resilience, reminiscent of mid-2000s Chelsea. Arsenal conceded fewer goals than any other team, with closest rival Manchester City conceding five more. Key players like William Saliba, who excelled both defensively and offensively—ranking in the top five for passes with 2,839—anchored a defense that also included Gabriel and Declan Rice. The defensive line gained further strength with the addition of Riccardo Calafiori, one of the standout defenders from Bologna, a Serie A team notable for its fifth-place finish and one of the lowest goals-against records.
Raya’s Spanish nationality may also work in his favor, as Spanish goalkeepers have historically won the Golden Glove more frequently than those from other countries. However, there are challenges. Few goalkeepers have claimed the Golden Glove more than once, and only three have won it consecutively, which raises the stakes for Raya this season.
Goalkeepers with Multiple Golden Gloves
Player |
Awards Number |
Season |
Petr Čech |
4 |
2004–05, 2009–10, 2013–14, 2015–16 |
Joe Hart |
2010–11, 2011–12, 2012–13, 2014–15 | |
Ederson |
3 |
2019–20, 2020–21, 2021–22 |
Pepe Reina |
2005–06, 2006–07, 2007–08 | |
Alisson |
2 |
2018–19, 2021–22 |
David de Gea |
2017–18, 2022–23 |
This season, Arsenal’s defense has already conceded twice as many goals as Liverpool, but they still maintain a solid top-tier standing. Raya currently ranks seventh in total saves, an impressive stat for a title contender, though it can be seen in two ways: while Raya is performing well, he’s also stepping in more often, likely due to Arsenal’s increasing defensive lapses, like Saliba’s recent red card and a wave of injuries. Adding further uncertainty, there’s buzz around Arsenal’s interest in Leandro Brey from Boca Juniors, which could intensify competition for the starting role.
Ederson
Manchester City’s goalkeeper Ederson has been a Golden Glove contender for the past five to six seasons. Some would argue that with City’s resources, any keeper would concede few goals. Their focus on central defense, especially with Ruben Dias’ exceptional control and accuracy in passing, has played a key role. By matchday 10, Dias led the Premier League with 784 passes, 37 more than his closest competitor.
Ederson has won the Golden Glove three times, contributing to City’s record of seven Golden Gloves, the most of any Premier League club. Recently, he hit a career milestone with 150 clean sheets for City, surpassing Joe Hart’s club record. His pace is remarkable, becoming the third-fastest goalkeeper in Premier League history to reach 100 clean sheets in his 208th appearance in the 2022-23 season.
This season, Ederson is slightly behind his typical clean-sheet rate (every 2.3 games), a drop partly attributed to the injury of Rodri, who connects City’s offense and defense and is a leader in interceptions and recoveries. Rumors about Ederson potentially moving to Saudi Arabia and Guardiola’s impending exit might also impact the team’s morale. Yet, bookmakers see him as a strong option, giving him a 22% chance, which some might argue underestimates City’s potential.
Ederson’s skill as a playmaker, noted since his Benfica days, was evident again with his assist to Haaland against Brentford. Remarkably, Ederson now has more assists than Manchester United's £82m-signing Antony, tallying five assists across competitions.
Alisson
Liverpool’s star keeper has claimed the Golden Glove multiple times, consistently recording at least 20 clean sheets per season — two above the average required to win. Alisson’s chances of winning the award this season are pegged at around 15%, making him less of a bookmaker favorite. Yet, history has shown that Alisson doesn’t need to be among the favorites to win; in 2018-19, he was listed at 7/2 odds, with Ederson and De Gea leading the pack.
Despite playing half the games of his top rivals this season, Alisson remains in the top three. He was just short of adding another clean sheet in Liverpool’s 1-0 win over Crystal Palace, where he was subbed off at the 79th minute, missing the clean-sheet credit by just 11 minutes. Injury has been a factor, sidelining him with a hamstring issue until December. However, if anyone can contend for the top spot despite limited playtime, it’s the Brazilian. His clean-sheet rate is exceptional, securing a shutout every other game on average.
With clean-sheet odds between 5/2 and 9/2 in each match, betting on Alisson in every game would yield a 150% profit margin. With a £10 stake per match, this strategy could net a profit of around £15. Maybe it won't make you rich, but let's talk about the statistics of Paul Robinson from Blackburn Rovers, who went several seasons from 2007 to 2009 without a clean sheet.
Emiliano Martinez
The Argentine is often regarded as the most underrated goalkeeper in modern football. It's puzzling how this perception coexists with his recent achievement of becoming the first person to win the Yashin Trophy for the world’s best goalkeeper two years in a row.
French fans, however, have fully appreciated his inappropriate gesture with the glove during the World Cup final in Qatar and his trolling of Kylian Mbappe. As a result, Martinez was loudly booed upon entering the Ballon d’Or ceremony held in Paris.
This season, the Argentine, like Andre Onana, has already saved a penalty and, in true style, received a yellow card. With 21 saves, he surpasses Ederson and Alisson. Aston Villa have silenced skeptics this season by firmly securing a spot in the top four and dominating opponents in the Champions League, not conceding a single goal in the League Stage. However, in the Premier League, Martinez has managed only one clean sheet, which came against a toothless Manchester United.
Golden Glove 2024/25 Prediction
The odds speak louder than any stats: with such numbers, it seems there’s no one else to look at but Raya. Still, he’s got the feel of one of 'Drake’s favorites'—a fantastic previous season is no guarantee of repeat success. Arsenal faces away games against two high-scoring teams, Chelsea and Brentford, both top five in goals scored. And there’s no guarantee that crucial defenders Takehiro Tomiyasu and Kieran Tierney will be back in time, let alone key players Martin Ødegaard and Bukayo Saka.
In such conditions, it’s hard not to look towards the incomparable Alisson and Liverpool, who seem to be rising from the ashes. Notably, Alisson has matched Raya’s clean sheets, despite having played half as many matches. Upcoming challenges include away games against Tottenham, City, and Villa. But if the Brazilian can overcome his injuries, nothing feels out of reach for this Liverpool side. In short, we’d place our bets on one of these two contenders.
As for Onana, it seems he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time. With United’s current form, no heroics will win the Golden Glove. However, at Old Trafford, there’s always belief in miracles until the very end—a legacy from Sir Alex Ferguson himself.
Real Madrid
Milano
Liverpool
Bayer 04
Sporting CP
Manchester City
Lille
Juventus
PSV
Girona
