Pimblett vs Chandler Prediction and Betting Odds

Paddy Pimblett will face Michael Chandler in a lightweight bout on April 12 at UFC 314, taking place at the Kaseya Center in Miami, USA. 

Who will win the fight?

Pimblett

3/4

Chandler

1/1

Below is a breakdown of the odds, predictions, and an exclusive preview for the Pimblett vs Chandler fight.

Pimblett vs Chandler Betting Odds

Bookmakers slightly favour Pimblett, considering his superior form compared to Chandler, who spent years waiting for Conor McGregor. The Englishman is a tricky opponent, making him difficult to finish. The odds for a Pimblett victory stand at 4/5

Pimblett vs Chandler Betting Odds

Chandler, on the other hand, has lost some of the power and explosiveness that once defined his style. His only path to victory lies in rediscovering his old self, which seems unlikely at this stage. A bet on Chandler to win is priced at 11/10

Statistics and Physical data

Pimblett stands 5cm taller than Chandler and holds a 3cm reach advantage. However, the key factor here is age—Chandler is approaching 40, which is far from ideal for a lightweight fighter.

Paddy Pimblett

• FCC and Cage Warriors Featherweight Champion. Three-time UFC "Performance of the Night" winner. Black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.

• 25 fights, 22 wins, 3 losses

Paddy Pimblett to win

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Bet

4/5

Pimblett has built a strong fanbase and remains unbeaten in the UFC. His quick finish over Bobby Green showed he’s ready for tougher tests, and now he faces an experienced veteran.

Pimblett will use long one-two combinations and add in heavy leg kicks to slow Chandler down. Expect him to time a flying knee, hoping to catch Chandler dipping his head before a takedown attempt. Paddy thrives in wild exchanges and will look to overwhelm Chandler with volume striking.

If Pimblett starts absorbing too much damage, he will shift to grappling, looking to secure a rear-naked choke or another submission, depending on Chandler’s defensive adjustments.

Pimblett’s Last 5 Fights

Michael Chandler

• Three-time Bellator Lightweight Champion. Bellator Season 4 Lightweight Grand Prix winner. Former UFC Lightweight title challenger

• 32 fights, 23 wins, 9 losses.

Michael Chandler to win

Bonus £50

Bet

11/10

Despite holding a 2-4 record in the UFC, Chandler remains ranked, largely due to his fan-favourite, high-action fighting style. His recent return from a two-year layoff was underwhelming, as his form against Charles Oliveira was far from his peak.

Against Pimblett, Chandler will likely look to land powerful hooks early, targeting Paddy’s high chin. He may also bait the Englishman into pressing forward before unleashing heavy counters or attempting a quick takedown. However, if Chandler fails to secure control on the ground, he won’t engage in extended clinch work against the cage. Instead, expect him to mix mid kicks with short boxing combinations, while attempting to land a decisive double-leg takedown.

Chandler’s Last 5 Fights

Pimblett vs Chandler Prediction

Chandler will initially fight cautiously, before attempting to impose his trademark explosive striking style by the middle of Round 1. If both fighters remain standing by the end of the first round, the second round will see even heavier exchanges. Pimblett is the more durable fighter at this stage, and he has youth and motivation on his side. He should be able to withstand Chandler’s power, land his own shots consistently, and avoid extended control on the ground. This is Pimblett’s golden opportunity to break into the lightweight top 10, and he will leave everything in the cage to secure that ranking. He has a strong chance of finishing Chandler late in the fight or winning by decision.

Paddy Pimblett to win

Bonus £40

Bet

4/5