Real Sociedad vs Manchester United: Europa League Round of 16 First Leg

On Thursday, March 6, Real Sociedad and Manchester United will face off in the Europa League Round of 16. The match will take place in San Sebastián at the Reale Arena. According to bookmakers, both teams are among the top five favorites to win the tournament.

Real Sociedad vs Manchester United: Who Will Win?

Real Sociedad

11/10

Draw

43/20

MU

14/5

Real Sociedad are struggling in mid-table in La Liga, while Man United are increasingly being labeled as a former superclub on the brink of a Premier League relegation battle. It seems both teams are ready to prioritize their European campaign. What betting options and odds do the bookmakers offer? We break it all down in our detailed analysis.

Real Sociedad vs Manchester United Betting Odds

In the last four years, the Red Devils have played at this stadium twice and won both times. However, Manchester United's form has steadily declined since then, and now the bookmakers favor the hosts.

Real Sociedad vs Manchester United Betting Odds

These two teams have faced each other six times, and never have both scored in the same match 9/10 Only one of those six games saw more than two goals 13/20

Real Sociedad Analysis

Imanol Alguacil’s side have also struggled domestically this season. They sit ninth in La Liga, having lost three of their last five league matches. They were also eliminated from the Copa del Rey by Real Madrid.

Real Sociedad: Last 5 Matches

Real Sociedad failed to qualify directly for the Round of 16 but had no trouble dispatching Danish side Midtjylland in the knockout round, winning 7-3 on aggregate. Their schedule is brutal—within just four days, they face Real Madrid, Barcelona, and Manchester United. However, this match is at home, where they have lost only once in their last six games.

Real Sociedad to win or draw

Bonus £50

Bet

3/10

The Basques have been prolific in attack, ranking second in goals scored (20) in this Europa League campaign. Their main attacking force is Mikel Oyarzabal, a standout performer at the last Euros. He ranks in the top five for xG (5.02), outperforming his actual goal tally by 1.5 times—suggesting room for improvement. Notably, he has won two penalties in the tournament, the most of any player. For those looking for some excitement, a penalty to be awarded in this match is priced at 2/1

Mikel Oyarzabal to score anytime

Bonus £40

Bet

12/5

Man United Analysis

Fans in both parts of Manchester are baffled this season. On the red side, they were so eager to get rid of Ten Hag that Amorim’s arrival was seen as a blessing. However, in their last four Premier League matches, United have managed just one win and one draw. The Portuguese coach is now the fourth favorite to be sacked in the Premier League, with odds of 14/1 They offloaded Rashford, and he immediately started contributing at Aston Villa.

Manchester United  Last 5 Matches

After their FA Cup defeat to Fulham, the Europa League remains Manchester United’s last chance at silverware this season. The Red Devils haven’t finished a campaign without a trophy since 2021/22, and most experts believe the club will prioritize their European run. They are slight favorites to advance to the next round, with odds of 19/20

Moreover, United have looked like a different team in the Europa League (in a good way). They finished third overall in the group stage without a single defeat. Bookmakers rank them as the second favorites to win the tournament, with odds of 11/2

According to Sofascore, United have been the best team in the competition. They rank in the top five for fewest goals conceded (9), best possession percentage (60.8%), and most accurate passes (514.3 per game). Amorim has instilled an attacking mindset, and it shows—United are second in corners won per match (6.5), while Real Sociedad average 5.1 corners per game.

Corners Total Over 9.5

Bonus £40

Bet

1/1

Rasmus Højlund is United’s top scorer in the Europa League, but Bruno Fernandes' stats stand out. He has scored in two of his last three matches, ranks fourth in xA (3.03), is in the top five for big chances created (5), and is second for key passes (3.7 per match).

Bruno Fernandes to score or assist

Bonus £30

Bet

19/10

Real Sociedad vs Manchester United Prediction

Both teams are struggling and are unlikely to go all-out in attack from the start. When Harry Maguire becomes one of Manchester United’s main goal threats, it's clear their frontline has issues.

Bookmakers give United a 27% chance of winning, but when given similar odds in the past, they have won just 17% of the time.

Real Sociedad struggle to score as their high-intensity pressing limits space for both teams, while Manchester United lack cohesion, making a tight first leg the most likely outcome.

Under 2.5

Bonus £50

Bet

13/20

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6 Mar, 17:45