São Paulo Grand Prix 2024: Predictions and Bets for the Formula 1 Event
The Formula 1 event in Brazil will take place from November 1 to 3 at the José Carlos Pace Autodrome (Interlagos) in São Paulo, Brazil. This will be the 21st race of the current season.
What bets have the bookmakers prepared for the event in Brazil? The best odds for the race weekend are in our review.
The aggressive race in Mexico has seriously affected the odds for Max's potential victory. No matter how calm the reigning champion may seem during past races, it is becoming clear that issues with the car are forcing him to act aggressively and recklessly, thereby increasing the chances of Lando taking the title.
Who will win the race
São Paulo Grand Prix 2024 Winners Odds
Though Red Bull may be losing speed relative to competitors, Max Verstappen is fighting hard for podium finishes. However, bookmakers view Lando Norris’s recent success favorably, showing confidence that he has strong chances if not to compete for victory but to secure a top-three finish.
Bets on Winning the F1 Driver’s Championship
Just when analysts counted Lando Norris out of the title race, he closed the gap with Verstappen and could repeat that performance in the next race.
Of course, he has only 4 races left, but in each of them, he needs to outscore Verstappen by an average of 12 points. On one hand, the car allows for this, but on the other hand, he will have to battle a lot with Leclerc and his teammate Piastri, who seems to have no intention of easing the intra-team competition.
Meanwhile, at the Mercedes stable, everything is stable; George continues to chase Lewis, but due to their similarly strong finishes in points, the gap between them remains static.
Personal standings for the 2024 season and odds to win
Max's Dirty Tactics and Lando's Title Ambitions
Ironically, Verstappen was quite ready to let Ferrari cars pass in Mexico, but he was determined to deny Lando even the slightest chance to overtake at all costs. Naturally, old-school Formula 1 fans were awakened by such dirty racing and pushing off the track; however, for Red Bull fans, the past weekend was a disaster.
It's clear that Verstappen needs to ease off a bit, aiming to maintain at least 4th or 5th place during the race. In addition to the overall loss of power compared to his competitors, he also faced issues with the hybrid system in Mexico, which simply wasn't charging the battery, repeatedly reducing the horsepower in the car.
Naturally, with such obvious technical issues, aiming for the top spot is no longer feasible. However, if Max doesn't change his approach and continues to attack as aggressively as before, he will, at best, receive another round of penalties, and at worst, he might send someone into the wall.
By the way, how likely is it in his case that we could see a deliberate crash at the end of the season, reminiscent of the Senna-Prost incident?
2024 F1 Constructors’ Championship odds to win
History of the São Paulo Grand Prix
The first Brazilian Grand Prix took place in 1972 at Interlagos, and the winner was Emerson Fittipaldi driving a Lotus-Ford.
Alain Prost holds the record for the most wins in Brazil, with victories in 1982, 1984, 1985, 1987, 1988, and 1990. Michael Schumacher is in second place with 4 wins in 1994, 1995, 2000, and 2002. Carlos Reutemann and Sebastian Vettel share the third spot. Current champion Max Verstappen has won here only once, in 2019.
The most successful teams are McLaren and Ferrari, with 12 and 11 victories, respectively.
Prediction for the São Paulo Grand Prix
Sainz's victory has hardly impressed analysts, who understand well that the main battle at Interlagos will ignite between Lando and Charles.
At the same time, Norris is clearly wary of more dirty attacks from Max, who is likely to go all-in during every cooling phase of the race. Nevertheless, he speaks about his second opponent with calm respect:
The champion himself, on the contrary, is trying to completely distance himself from advice like "slow down" and is focused solely on the upcoming race.
So don't be surprised if Brazil once again delivers plenty of contentious moments—off-track skirmishes, penalties, and post-race discussions.
Schedule and Weather Forecast for the São Paulo Grand Prix
Meteorologists are predicting partly cloudy skies by Friday evening, a high of +27°C with a 50% chance of rain on Saturday, and +24°C with rain expected throughout the day on Sunday.
When to watch | Event |
November 1, 2.30pm on Sky Sports F1 | Practice One |
November 1, 6.30pm on Sky Sports F1 | Sprint Qualifying |
November 2, 2.00pm on Sky Sports F1 | Sprint |
November 2, 6.00pm on Sky Sports F1 | Qualifying |
November 3, 5.00pm on Sky Sports F1 | The San Paulo Grand Prix |
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