Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Nations League match.
Ahead of their home game against the Czech Republic, Albania trail their closest rivals by just one point and are eager to avenge last month's setback in Prague (0:2). In that encounter a month ago, the Czech team confidently took the initiative as they are accustomed to a three-defender formation that allows them to control possession.
Albania
In four matches of the current Nations League campaign, Albania have managed only three shots on target. The players are forced to play on the counter, lacking quality in their build-up play. Against Georgia (1:0), they converted their only chance, producing just 0.55 xG in 90 minutes. It's noteworthy that Rubin forward Mirlind Daku will be absent for the fifth round due to yellow card accumulation, which will impact their attacking play.
Czech Republic
After a slip-up against Georgia (1:4) in their Nations League opener, the Czech Republic significantly improved their form by changing their formation. Heading into the final November fixtures, they lead the group with the most goals scored (7). In their recent match against Ukraine (1:1), they played on the counterattack, delivering more shots on target (7:3) despite having less possession (48%–52%).
Albania vs Czech Republic Prediction
To secure a spot in the playoffs, the Czech Republic are expected to play solidly in Tirana. Albania will need to open up against the group leaders, which the Czech Republic will look to capitalise on. Our choice is a reliable handicap of 0 for the visitors.
