Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Cincinnati match.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina returns to the American hard court circuit after reaching the final in Washington and delivering a promising start in Toronto. His opening match in Cincinnati pits him against João Fonseca, who struggled to progress through the first round.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has demonstrated consistent form on hard surfaces this year, winning 19 out of 29 matches played on this surface in 2025. He has been particularly effective against players under the age of 21, securing six victories in such matchups. The Spaniard has also won the opening round in nine out of ten hard-court tournaments this season. Following his runner-up finish in Washington, he maintained a strong performance level in Toronto, only withdrawing in the round of 16 due to injury.
João Fonseca
João Fonseca has shown signs of development, but his results against top-level opposition remain inconsistent, with only three wins in nine matches against top-20 ATP players. In Cincinnati, the Brazilian was pushed to three sets in a tough first-round encounter against Bu Yunchaokete. He struggled with five double faults and 44 unforced errors, while allowing his opponent to convert two break points. This season, he has captured two Challenger titles, albeit against relatively modest competition. His most significant win came against Alexander Bublik (ATP No. 25) in the Phoenix final.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs João Fonseca Prediction
Given the current form and contrasting styles, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina heads into this match as the clear favourite. He holds a distinct advantage in experience and mental fortitude, particularly in matches against less seasoned players. The Spaniard is expected to overcome João Fonseca and progress further in the tournament.
