Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Toronto match.
Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur, currently ranked world number eight and the top-ranked Australian, comes into this match on a high. Since late July, he has secured the title in Washington and has been particularly effective on return — winning 30.5% of return games on hard courts in 2025. His track record in Toronto is impressive as well, with seven wins from his last eight matches, including last year’s run to the final.
Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton has had to dig deep to reach the quarter-finals. He survived gruelling three-set matches with decisive tie-breaks against Brandon Nakashima and Flavio Cobolli, narrowly escaping defeat after being broken while serving for the match in both encounters. However, his performances have been inconsistent. For nearly two sets against Cobolli, Shelton failed to generate a single break point. Across three matches in the tournament, the American has recorded 20 double faults and converted just 9 of 25 break point opportunities.
Alex de Minaur vs Ben Shelton Prediction
Given Alex de Minaur’s superior physical condition and current form, along with Ben Shelton’s struggles to take advantage of key moments and his vulnerability in extended rallies, the Australian is expected to emerge victorious.
