Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Wimbledon match.
Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur has lost each of his last 11 matches against top-10 opponents, highlighting his ongoing struggles against the sport's elite. His serve has been underwhelming at this tournament, with just a 54% first-serve percentage and an average of four aces per match. However, Alex tends to show grit in Grand Slam events, having gone to at least four sets in five of his last six fourth-round appearances.
Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic has progressed through the draw with confidence, dropping only one set en route to the fourth round. In contrast to his opponent, he has delivered strong serving statistics – landing 72% of first serves, winning 84% of points on first serve, and averaging 16 aces per match. Djokovic brings a 19-match winning streak in fourth-round matches into this contest and has shown remarkable composure in key moments throughout 2025. In their most recent meeting at the Monte Carlo Masters, he secured a straight-sets victory (7:5, 6:4).
Alex de Minaur vs Novak Djokovic Prediction
While Alex de Minaur tends to struggle against top-level opposition, he is unlikely to go down easily. Novak Djokovic has looked dominant in his Wimbledon campaign and is expected to come through once more, though he may need more than three sets to do it. A four-set battle seems the most likely outcome.
