Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Australian Open match.
Alex Michelsen is making significant strides, as evidenced by his victory over Stefanos Tsitsipas in Melbourne. However, he now faces Karen Khachanov — an experienced player who has started the tournament confidently and boasts extensive experience in major competitions.
Alex Michelsen
The American began the season with losses in Brisbane and Auckland, yet surprisingly showcased his abilities in Melbourne. The win over Tsitsipas (7:5; 6:3; 2:6; 6:4) was a noteworthy accomplishment, though his match against James McCabe was less convincing (7:5; 6:3; 7:6). Michelsen served eight aces and won 80% of points on his first serve. However, his receiving stats (28%/58%) and his winners/unforced errors ratio (30/30) indicate that consistency and pressure in rallies still need improvement.
Karen Khachanov
The Russian started the year with a setback in Hong Kong but quickly found his rhythm in Melbourne, securing two convincing victories. Against Gabriel Diallo, Khachanov served powerfully and accurately (10 aces, 79% of points on first serve) and dominated in rallies (43 winners against 26 unforced errors). His performance on return (29%/54%) was also more convincing — Karen withstands the pressure of major tournaments and handles younger and less experienced players effectively.
Alex Michelsen vs Karen Khachanov Prediction
Despite Michelsen's progress, Khachanov holds a significant advantage in experience and consistency. The Russian is better at sustaining long rallies, more confident on return, and maximises key moments — the American might take at most one set. Hence, we choose a win for Khachanov with a handicap.
