Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Toronto match.
Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev has a flawless head-to-head record against Alexei Popyrin, winning all three of their previous meetings in straight sets. These victories have come across a variety of surfaces — outdoor hard courts, clay, and indoors — showcasing his adaptability. In Toronto, Zverev has been in commanding form: he is landing 74 % of first serves and winning 76 % of those points, while also serving 21 aces across his three matches. Alexander has won three of his last five quarter-final appearances at hard-court Masters 1000 events and comes into this one as the clear favourite.
Alexei Popyrin
Alexei Popyrin’s run to the quarter-finals in Toronto is a surprise, particularly when compared to his title-winning campaign in Canada last year. Each of his last two matches has been a physically taxing affair. Across three matches, Alexei has hit 18 double faults and is averaging just 62 % on first serves. Popyrin’s record against top-5 opponents on hard courts is also underwhelming, with only three wins and seven defeats.
Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction
Given Alexander Zverev’s superior freshness and overall quality, we’re expecting a routine straight-sets victory for the German. Alexei Popyrin’s tournament is likely to end here, as Alexander appears simply too strong at this stage.