Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Hamburg match.
This will be the third meeting between Alexandre Müller and Félix Auger-Aliassime, with the match taking place at the quarter-final stage of the ATP 500 tournament in Hamburg. Their head-to-head record is even, with one win each. Auger-Aliassime is still struggling to find his rhythm and has underperformed on clay throughout 2025. Müller, on the other hand, appears to be in strong form on this surface and looks well-positioned to claim another high-profile victory in Hamburg.
Alexandre Müller
The Frenchman broke into the top 50 in 2024 and has shown consistency on clay. This season, Alexandre Müller has won 11 of 16 matches on the surface, claiming wins over several higher-ranked opponents. He defeated World No. 18 Francisco Cerúndolo in Rio on his way to the final, and later overcame World No. 37 Jiri Lehecka and World No. 22 Ugo Humbert in Rome and Madrid, respectively. In Hamburg, Müller delivered a major upset by knocking out the tournament’s top seed, Alexander Zverev. In that match, he served five aces and won 74% of points behind his first serve.
Félix Auger-Aliassime
Félix Auger-Aliassime has struggled to build momentum on clay this year. He suffered first-round eliminations in three straight clay-court tournaments — Monte Carlo, Munich, and Madrid. His losses came against players ranked outside the top 90: World No. 98 Mariano Navone, World No. 109 Francisco Cerúndolo, and World No. 173 Andrea Pellegrino. Only in Hamburg has Félix Auger-Aliassime managed to find some form, with wins over World No. 66 Daniel Altmaier (6:3, 6:3) and World No. 32 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (6:2, 6:4).
Alexandre Müller vs Félix Auger-Aliassime Prediction
Alexandre Müller is playing with confidence, while Félix Auger-Aliassime has yet to find his footing on clay. Müller has already pulled off one upset in Hamburg and looks capable of repeating that feat. Despite Auger-Aliassime being viewed as the favourite, we’re opting for a more cautious approach and backing Alexandre Müller with a positive handicap.
