Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Geneva match.
Cameron Norrie has already played four matches over the past week, while Alexei Popyrin has reached the quarter-finals with less effort. As a result, Popyrin comes into this match the fresher athlete, with a physical advantage, while Norrie appears to have reached his ceiling in this tournament.
Alexei Popyrin
The Australian had a difficult start to the season, being eliminated in the second round of seven straight tournaments. However, he has shown notable progress on clay. This year, he has claimed six wins from ten matches on this surface and posted strong first-serve statistics: a 65% first serve percentage and a 70% success rate on points behind his first delivery. Most impressively, Alexei Popyrin reached the quarter-finals in Monte Carlo, registering victories over world No. 7 Casper Ruud, No. 15 Frances Tiafoe, and No. 22 Ugo Humbert. Now in Geneva, he has advanced to the semi-finals following wins over Nicolas Jarry and Jacob Fearnley, delivering 12 aces across those two matches.
Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie is not at his best, but continues to show resilience in each outing. To make the Geneva quarter-finals, he has already played four matches, including a taxing contest against Tomas Machac that ended 4:3 in the third set when his opponent was forced to retire due to injury. In 2024, Norrie has struggled against top-30 competition, recording just five wins against twelve defeats since the start of the year.
Alexei Popyrin vs Cameron Norrie Prediction
Alexei Popyrin is both fresher and more motivated, while Cameron Norrie appears to be running on empty after a demanding week. The Australian has a clear physical edge and could make the most of his opponent’s accumulated fatigue.
