Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the WTA Finals match.
Aryna Sabalenka is wrapping up the season as the world's top-ranked player, highlighting her superb form and determination to finish the year with a title at the WTA Finals. Coco Gauff, having confidently navigated the group stage, is equally motivated to demonstrate her competitiveness and establish herself as a leading contender for the title.
Aryna Sabalenka
Sabalenka is finishing the season with impressive stats, boasting 14 victories in 16 matches against American opponents in 2024, including triumphs in seven of her last eight encounters. In the group stage, she secured commanding wins over Qinwen Zheng (6:3, 6:4) and Jasmine Paolini (6:3, 7:5). Despite a loss to Elena Rybakina, that match held little significance as Sabalenka had already secured her spot in the semifinals. Her performance on indoor courts is equally impressive, with 50 victories in 76 matches, showcasing her high level on fast surfaces.
Coco Gauff
Gauff, on the other hand, exhibited great consistency at the Finals, defeating strong opponents like Jessica Pegula (6:3, 6:2) and Iga Świątek (6:3, 6:4). Despite a loss to Barbora Krejcikova, she advanced to the semifinals, proving her readiness. However, her indoor court statistics are less remarkable, with a win rate of 60% (12-6). A key weakness for the American is her second serve, which results in numerous double faults, potentially making her vulnerable against Sabalenka.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Prediction
Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff have an equal head-to-head record (4-4), with their matches typically involving intense contests. Sabalenka might exploit Gauff's second serve weakness while setting the pace from the start. A closely contested match with a possible third-set decider is anticipated, as both players are in great form and highly motivated. Therefore, we suggest a bet on a total over 20.5.
