Adam Williams presents his prediction for the EuroLeague match.
At the arena in Monaco, another EuroLeague clash will take place between the home team and the Serbian side. With roughly a quarter of the regular season completed, it's already evident that both teams aim for direct entry into the playoffs. Furthermore, they are direct competitors for a spot in the top six.
AS Monaco
Since Monaco began participating in the EuroLeague, they have faced Crvena Zvezda six times. The Serbian club emerged victorious just once, with a 92:68 win. The outcome was clear by halftime in that match, prompting Monaco to ease off. However, they aren't expected to do so again. This season, under the guidance of Saša Obradović, who has also coached Crvena Zvezda, Monaco are sitting slightly above the midpoint—currently in seventh position.
Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda hold the ninth spot with one more loss than Monaco. This season, they have played 11 away games, winning just over 50%—with five losses. In contrast, Monaco have suffered only one home defeat across eight matches in all competitions.
AS Monaco vs Crvena Zvezda Prediction
Bookmakers likely have it right that the hosts will win, but there's an opportunity to increase returns. By calculating the median point difference from their head-to-head encounters, excluding the Serbian win and Monaco's recent big triumph (98:80), the average advantage for Monaco is 8.25 points. Thus, we predict a victory for the hosts by a margin of at least 8 points.