Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Serie A match.
Important wins in the last two rounds have allowed Atalanta to pull away from the chasing pack and solidify their hold on third place. Against Lecce, Atalanta are expected to press forward aggressively, with the visitors’ fragile defence likely to give them an early edge.
Atalanta
Victories over Bologna (2:0) and AC Milan (1:0), both of whom sit in the Serie A top ten, have been among Atalanta’s standout performances in recent months. Over those two rounds, they produced 3.24 xG, the third-best mark in that span. Over the course of the campaign, they lead the league with 68.01 xG. As the season nears its end, Mateo Retegui (23+5) и Ademola Lookman (13+5) will be keen to enhance their personal numbers ahead of the summer transfer window.
Lecce
A run of four defeats in their last five matches has left Lecce hovering dangerously close to the relegation zone, with just a single point separating them from Venezia и Empoli. Alongside Monza, they hold the league’s worst goal difference at –32. Their away form has been particularly poor, with Lecce losing 11 of their 16 away fixtures — a league-worst record, tied with Monza.
Atalanta vs Lecce Prediction
Since the beginning of last season, Atalanta have beaten Lecce in three consecutive meetings, with an aggregate score of 7:0. A bet on Atalanta’s Individual Total Over appears well worth considering — their attacking strength should allow them to comfortably outpace the underdogs.
