Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Copa do Brasil match.
This is more than a cup tie — it is a derby with a long-standing, deep-rooted rivalry. Only home supporters are permitted, which markedly strengthens the home advantage for Atlético Mineiro.
Atlético Mineiro
The hosts come into the derby with uneven Campeonato Brasileiro Série A form: defeats to Grêmio and São Paulo have alternated with wins over mid-table sides. However, Atlético Mineiro typically raise their level in cup football — eliminating Godoy Cruz in the Copa Sudamericana underlined that. At home, they are traditionally assertive: across their last 10 matches at Arena MRV they have six wins, two draws and two defeats. Head-to-head meetings currently favour Atlético Mineiro: 2:0 in February and 3:0 in April 2024. There are no personnel absences; the squad is at full strength.
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro are enjoying a strong Campeonato Brasileiro Série A campaign and sit in the top three. In the cup they confidently eliminated Vila Nova and Clube de Regatas Brasil, albeit against lower-calibre opposition. Away from home, results have largely been a mix of wins and draws. There are significant issues in defence: injuries to defenders João Marcelo and Fagner Conserva Lemos weaken the back line, forcing the team to rely on less experienced options.
Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro Prediction
Matches between these rivals are frequently tight: three draws have been recorded in the last five. The current context, however, tilts towards Atlético Mineiro. The squad is at full strength, they are at home with only their fans in, and they have looked assured in cup fixtures. Cruzeiro have a depleted defence and patchy returns on the road. Expect a cagey encounter with a low goal count, with Atlético Mineiro edging it through individual quality and pressure from the flanks.
