Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Bundesliga match.
Both clubs came away with no points in the previous round and sit in the bottom half of the standings. Augsburg are slightly higher thanks to a single win.
Augsburg
That victory came away from home rather than at their own ground. That is understandable, as they lost the Bavarian derby to Bayern München (2:3) at home. It was a respectable defeat, even though Bayern München were already 3:0 up early in the second half. At least the finishing efficiency was decent: two goals from 10 shots, only three on target, and 0.51 xG, while Bayern München did not take all of their chances (4.24 xG). We would add that Total Over has landed in every round for Augsburg.
Mainz 05
Mainz matches have trended to Total Under so far in the German Bundesliga, which is why they sit 15th. They have faced opponents who have managed three goals across three rounds — yet 1. Mainz have conceded in every German Bundesliga outing. They look capable of scoring only against less competitive opposition, as in the Europa Conference League qualifiers against Rosenborg BK (1:2, 4:1).
Augsburg vs Mainz 05 Prediction
The previous head-to-head meeting in Augsburg ended with the hosts losing 2:3. We are inclined to expect the opposite outcome this time, and our view aligns with Total Over 2.5 Goals.
