Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Champions League match.
Since the previous season, Bayern Munich have faced serious domestic competition from Bayer Leverkusen, and now both teams will determine which side is stronger in the Champions League. Two weeks ago, Bayer Leverkusen recorded a strong performance against Bayern Munich in Leverkusen, despite the match finishing 0:0, which leaves them well-prepared for the upcoming encounter.
Bayern Munich
That goalless result in Bayer Leverkusen’s away fixture affected Bayern Munich, as three days later they almost allowed Celtic to progress in the Round of 16 of the European Cup with a draw at home (1:1). In Friday’s Bundesliga match against VfB Stuttgart (3:1), Bayern Munich made better use of their opportunities (2.17–0.94 in xG), although Harry Kane, returning from injury, appeared less effective. Without Joshua Kimmich, Bayern Munich’s midfield balance will suffer, as Leon Goretzka and João Palhinha will find it difficult to advance the ball and defend effectively.
Bayer Leverkusen
In the previous match in Leverkusen, Bayer Leverkusen achieved 2.19 xG while Bayern Munich managed only 0.05 xG, failing to register a single shot on target. In their last two Bundesliga rounds against Holstein Kiel (2:0) and Eintracht Frankfurt (4:1), Bayer Leverkusen created a combined total of 4.93 xG, reflecting an attacking approach with frequent rotation of forwards. Furthermore, in their previous ten away matches, the reigning Bundesliga champions have suffered only one defeat, having conceded late to Atlético Madrid (1:2).
Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Bayern Munich have not beaten Bayer Leverkusen in their last six meetings (three draws and three defeats). We believe that they will be unable to overcome Bayer Leverkusen even at home, as the Leverkusen side are expected to control possession and dictate the pace of the match.
